ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Monday, November 28, 2022
7:00 PM ET
KeyBank Center (MSG-B)
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
6 – 5
Final/OT
Buffalo Sabres
 BUF
47% xGF%
53% xGF%
TBL was expected to score 3.64 goals BUF was expected to score 4.03 goals
P1 P2 P3 OT 0 1 2 3 4 2 Cumulative xG TBL BUF Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Tampa Bay Lightning Buffalo Sabres
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 5:43 1.25 3 2:15 0.10 0
Even Strength 54:46 2.39 3 54:46 3.92 5
Penalty Kill 2:15 0.00 0 5:43 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 1:06 0.01 0 0:16 0.00 0
Up 1 9:53 0.28 1 15:24 0.34 1
Tied 36:05 1.41 2 36:05 2.89 2
Down 1 15:24 1.58 2 9:53 0.65 1
Down 2+ 0:16 0.35 1 1:06 0.14 1
  • Brayden Point scores at 7:54 in the 1st period 0.21 xG (1-0)
  • Corey Perry scores at 16:48 in the 1st period 0.17 xG (2-0)
  • Tage Thompson scores at 17:54 in the 1st period 0.14 xG (2-1)
  • Jack Quinn scores at 18:53 in the 1st period 0.11 xG (2-2)
  • Tyson Jost scores at 9:07 in the 2nd period 0.16 xG (2-3)
  • Brayden Point scores at 16:26 in the 2nd period 0.15 xG (3-3)
  • Dylan Cozens scores at 9:37 in the 3rd period 0.03 xG (3-4)
  • Jeff Skinner scores at 14:19 in the 3rd period 0.05 xG (3-5)
  • Steven Stamkos scores at 14:35 in the 3rd period 0.18 xG (4-5)
  • Brandon Hagel scores at 17:58 in the 3rd period 0.16 xG (5-5)
  • Steven Stamkos scores at 2:44 in the OT period 0.04 xG (6-5)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TBL TBL xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.72 1 1 2 27 20:06 4 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.64 1 1 2 28 23:46 4 0 0 1 0 0 0
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.61 2 0 2 25 25:13 2 0 0 2 0 0 0
BUF Dylan Cozens (C) 0.54 1 0 1 22 14:46 5 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jeff Skinner (L) 0.46 1 0 1 23 17:45 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Kyle Okposo (R) 0.42 0 1 1 21 16:18 4 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Steven Stamkos (C) 0.37 2 1 3 27 22:37 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.37 1 0 1 18 14:21 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Alex Killorn (L) 0.36 0 1 1 23 17:49 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nick Paul (L) 0.34 0 1 1 28 19:58 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Corey Perry (R) 0.29 1 0 1 18 10:49 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Vladislav Namestnikov (C) 0.28 0 0 0 15 10:17 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Rasmus Asplund (C) 0.20 0 0 0 15 08:38 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Ross Colton (C) 0.19 0 0 0 19 13:00 2 -3 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.18 0 1 1 26 19:02 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF JJ Peterka (R) 0.17 0 1 1 18 13:50 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tyson Jost (C) 0.17 1 0 1 23 18:09 2 +1 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.15 0 3 3 29 26:00 3 -1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.14 0 1 1 22 17:38 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Patrick Maroon (L) 0.05 0 0 0 13 10:29 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Victor Olofsson (L) 0.00 0 0 0 15 08:18 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Casey Mittelstadt (C) 0.00 0 0 0 15 09:19 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Cole Koepke (L) 0.00 0 0 0 13 08:52 0 -1 2 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.50 0 1 1 29 22:50 4 0 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.12 0 0 0 28 23:39 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Zach Bogosian (D) 0.08 0 0 0 17 12:09 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.07 0 1 1 31 27:01 2 +2 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Mikhail Sergachev (D) 0.06 0 3 3 27 24:55 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.06 0 0 0 25 18:39 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.04 0 1 1 33 25:03 2 +1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Henri Jokiharju (D) 0.03 0 0 0 32 23:31 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nick Perbix (D) 0.02 0 0 0 19 14:16 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Cal Foote (D) 0.01 0 0 0 10 07:35 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Ian Cole (D) 0.01 0 0 0 20 16:27 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Ilya Lyubushkin (D) 0.00 0 0 0 20 14:00 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Casey Fitzgerald (D) 0.00 0 0 0 19 11:27 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TBL Brian Elliott (G) -2.63% 0.865 -1.0 5 32 62:23 37 W 0
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) -9.46% 0.760 -2.4 6 19 62:44 25 O 0