ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Saturday, March 4, 2023
12:30 PM ET
KeyBank Center (MSG-B)
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
3 – 5
Final
Buffalo Sabres
 BUF
52% xGF%
48% xGF%
TBL was expected to score 3.40 goals BUF was expected to score 3.18 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG TBL BUF Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Tampa Bay Lightning Buffalo Sabres
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 9:08 1.21 1 4:30 0.72 2
Even Strength 46:22 1.88 1 46:22 2.45 3
Penalty Kill 4:30 0.30 1 9:08 0.01 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 27:30 1.11 2
Up 1 2:47 0.01 0 6:55 0.38 1
Tied 22:48 1.25 1 22:48 1.18 1
Down 1 6:55 0.57 0 2:47 0.51 1
Down 2+ 27:30 1.56 2 0:00 0.00 0
  • Brayden Point scores at 13:28 in the 1st period 0.12 xG (1-0)
  • Tage Thompson scores at 16:15 in the 1st period 0.05 xG (1-1)
  • Vinnie Hinostroza scores at 5:35 in the 2nd period 0.10 xG (1-2)
  • Tyson Jost scores at 12:30 in the 2nd period 0.20 xG (1-3)
  • Jack Quinn scores at 19:46 in the 2nd period 0.08 xG (1-4)
  • Jeff Skinner scores at 0:53 in the 3rd period 0.11 xG (1-5)
  • Alex Killorn scores at 2:55 in the 3rd period 0.15 xG (2-5)
  • Alex Killorn scores at 13:18 in the 3rd period 0.21 xG (3-5)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
BUF BUF xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.80 1 0 1 15 14:34 7 -2 0 1 0 0 0
BUF Dylan Cozens (C) 0.60 0 1 1 21 15:27 5 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tyson Jost (C) 0.55 1 0 1 14 13:55 4 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Victor Olofsson (L) 0.50 0 0 0 18 13:32 3 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Ross Colton (C) 0.46 0 0 0 20 15:08 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Alex Killorn (L) 0.44 2 0 2 24 18:18 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.39 0 1 1 15 16:38 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Casey Mittelstadt (C) 0.37 0 1 1 18 14:43 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Corey Perry (R) 0.22 0 0 0 20 13:23 1 -1 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Nick Paul (L) 0.18 0 1 1 22 15:59 3 +1 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Michael Eyssimont (C) 0.18 0 0 0 17 12:20 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Jeff Skinner (L) 0.17 1 1 2 19 16:56 1 +1 2 1 0 0 0
TBL Tanner Jeannot (L) 0.16 0 1 1 16 12:52 1 +1 5 0 0 0 0
BUF JJ Peterka (R) 0.15 0 0 0 16 11:51 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Kyle Okposo (R) 0.13 0 0 0 16 14:16 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Vinnie Hinostroza (C) 0.11 1 0 1 15 12:04 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.09 0 0 0 23 16:45 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Steven Stamkos (C) 0.09 0 1 1 15 13:28 1 -3 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.08 1 0 1 19 14:16 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.07 1 1 2 20 18:15 1 0 0 1 0 0 0
BUF Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.01 0 0 0 16 11:36 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.00 0 0 0 23 15:45 0 -1 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.00 0 0 0 23 18:25 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Patrick Maroon (L) 0.00 0 0 0 16 14:28 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TBL Mikhail Sergachev (D) 0.17 0 0 0 27 24:32 2 -1 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Ian Cole (D) 0.16 0 0 0 24 22:52 5 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.13 0 0 0 30 24:22 3 +2 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Henri Jokiharju (D) 0.11 0 0 0 32 20:26 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.09 0 1 1 27 19:50 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.06 0 0 0 32 24:54 1 +1 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Zach Bogosian (D) 0.03 0 0 0 21 16:41 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nick Perbix (D) 0.02 0 1 1 26 17:20 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Darren Raddysh (D) 0.02 0 0 0 16 12:20 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Ilya Lyubushkin (D) 0.02 0 0 0 30 23:17 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Riley Stillman (D) 0.01 0 0 0 15 07:57 0 0 7 0 0 0 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.00 0 1 1 22 15:43 0 0 4 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
BUF Eric Comrie (G) +1.11% 0.917 0.4 3 33 59:54 36 W 0
TBL Brian Elliott (G) -5.37% 0.853 -1.8 5 29 57:30 34 L 0