ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Wednesday, March 15, 2023
7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena (MSG-B)
48% xGF%
52% xGF%
BUF was expected to score 3.38 goals WSH was expected to score 3.61 goals
P1 P2 P3 OT 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG BUF WSH Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Buffalo Sabres Washington Capitals
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 3:18 0.45 0 1:48 0.79 2
Even Strength 59:54 2.93 4 59:54 2.73 2
Penalty Kill 1:48 0.00 0 3:18 0.10 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 29:47 1.91 0 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 24:22 0.94 3 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 10:37 0.53 1 10:37 0.34 0
Down 1 0:00 0.00 0 24:22 1.62 1
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 29:47 1.65 3
  • Ilya Lyubushkin scores at 4:43 in the 1st period 0.04 xG (1-0)
  • JJ Peterka scores at 8:50 in the 1st period 0.17 xG (2-0)
  • T.J. Oshie scores at 10:03 in the 1st period 0.18 xG (2-1)
  • Tyson Jost scores at 18:06 in the 1st period 0.10 xG (3-1)
  • Evgeny Kuznetsov scores at 1:32 in the 3rd period 0.05 xG (3-2)
  • Zemgus Girgensons scores at 5:22 in the 3rd period 0.14 xG (4-2)
  • Alex Ovechkin scores at 10:30 in the 3rd period 0.13 xG (4-3)
  • Tom Wilson scores at 18:52 in the 3rd period 0.12 xG (4-4)
  • Watch the full game recap here
WSH WSH xWin%
Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
WSH Aliaksei Protas (C) 0.71 0 0 0 22 14:04 7 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.61 0 0 0 28 23:29 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Alex Ovechkin (L) 0.59 1 1 2 25 19:32 5 0 2 0 0 0 0
WSH T.J. Oshie (R) 0.47 1 1 2 18 13:54 2 -1 0 1 0 0 0
WSH Dylan Strome (C) 0.43 0 2 2 19 16:43 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Dylan Cozens (C) 0.42 0 0 0 19 12:54 2 -1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.42 0 0 0 26 22:32 3 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF JJ Peterka (R) 0.38 1 0 1 15 11:00 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jeff Skinner (L) 0.36 0 0 0 25 19:17 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tyson Jost (C) 0.28 1 0 1 19 14:45 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Evgeny Kuznetsov (C) 0.27 1 0 1 26 17:07 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Craig Smith (C) 0.25 0 0 0 20 13:18 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.24 1 0 1 19 14:56 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Nicolas Aube-Kubel (R) 0.22 0 0 0 23 15:12 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Nicklas Backstrom (C) 0.14 0 1 1 22 16:30 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.13 0 1 1 16 12:36 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Tom Wilson (R) 0.12 1 0 1 21 17:18 1 -1 0 1 0 0 0
BUF Jordan Greenway (L) 0.11 0 0 0 19 14:23 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Kyle Okposo (R) 0.08 0 0 0 20 14:18 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Casey Mittelstadt (C) 0.08 0 0 0 19 14:42 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.05 0 2 2 20 15:40 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Conor Sheary (L) 0.01 0 0 0 20 16:17 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Nic Dowd (C) 0.00 0 0 0 25 16:48 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Anthony Mantha (R) 0.00 0 0 0 13 09:58 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
WSH Trevor van Riemsdyk (D) 0.16 0 1 1 31 24:44 5 -2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.15 0 1 1 33 27:34 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Martin Fehérváry (D) 0.11 0 0 0 31 25:22 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Nick Jensen (D) 0.06 0 0 0 23 17:15 3 0 2 0 0 0 0
WSH Alexander Alexeyev (D) 0.04 0 1 1 23 18:40 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Ilya Lyubushkin (D) 0.04 1 0 1 22 14:47 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Rasmus Sandin (D) 0.03 0 0 0 32 26:31 2 -3 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Riley Stillman (D) 0.03 0 1 1 18 11:50 0 +2 2 0 0 0 0
WSH Matt Irwin (D) 0.02 0 0 0 19 13:12 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Henri Jokiharju (D) 0.01 0 0 0 29 24:11 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.00 0 0 0 32 26:22 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jacob Bryson (D) 0.00 0 0 0 24 18:11 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) -0.99% 0.897 -0.4 4 35 65:00 39 O 0
WSH Charlie Lindgren (G) -2.27% 0.852 -0.6 4 23 64:32 27 W 0