ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Thursday, January 9, 2025
7:30 PM ET
Lenovo Center (ESPN+)
TOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
3 – 6
Final
Carolina Hurricanes
 CAR
43% xGF%
57% xGF%
TOR was expected to score 3.07 goals CAR was expected to score 4.07 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 2 Cumulative xG TOR CAR Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Toronto Maple Leafs Carolina Hurricanes
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 3:07 0.56 1 6:23 0.55 0
Even Strength 50:30 2.51 2 50:30 3.31 4
Penalty Kill 6:23 0.00 0 3:07 0.21 1
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 6:29 0.16 0 19:40 0.81 0
Up 1 5:47 0.25 1 15:58 1.77 1
Tied 12:06 0.42 1 12:06 0.77 2
Down 1 15:58 0.90 1 5:47 0.39 1
Down 2+ 19:40 1.33 0 6:29 0.33 1
  • ► Nicholas Robertson scores at 1:59 in the 1st period 0.10 xG (1-0)
  • ► William Nylander scores at 7:29 in the 1st period 0.10 xG (2-0)
  • ► Eric Robinson scores at 13:58 in the 1st period 0.08 xG (2-1)
  • ► Jordan Staal scores at 14:15 in the 1st period 0.12 xG (2-2)
  • ► Jordan Staal scores at 0:35 in the 2nd period 0.17 xG (2-3)
  • ► Auston Matthews scores at 1:11 in the 2nd period 0.29 xG (3-3)
  • ► Jackson Blake scores at 4:58 in the 2nd period 0.07 xG (3-4)
  • ► Jordan Staal scores at 0:20 in the 3rd period 0.11 xG (3-5)
  • ► Seth Jarvis scores at 16:23 in the 3rd period (3-6)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
CAR CAR xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
CAR Eric Robinson (L) 0.82 1 0 1 17 12:59 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Mitch Marner (R) 0.56 0 1 1 22 19:29 2 -6 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jordan Staal (C) 0.51 3 0 3 19 13:01 4 +3 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Seth Jarvis (C) 0.45 1 0 1 21 21:20 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 0.41 1 0 1 21 15:32 2 -6 2 1 0 0 0
CAR Sebastian Aho (C) 0.41 0 0 0 20 20:58 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.39 1 0 1 21 18:20 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jack Drury (C) 0.35 0 0 0 16 12:22 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.35 0 0 0 20 18:59 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicholas Robertson (L) 0.31 1 0 1 17 13:16 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.31 0 0 0 12 09:36 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jordan Martinook (L) 0.26 0 3 3 20 12:22 0 +3 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Martin Necas (C) 0.23 0 1 1 17 16:58 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Juha Jaaska (L) 0.22 0 1 1 14 09:52 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jesperi Kotkaniemi (C) 0.18 0 0 0 17 15:24 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jackson Blake (R) 0.16 1 0 1 16 13:44 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Steven Lorentz (C) 0.14 0 1 1 16 12:04 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Matthew Knies (L) 0.13 0 1 1 22 15:05 2 -5 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Connor Dewar (C) 0.12 0 0 0 16 12:27 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jack Roslovic (C) 0.09 0 0 0 22 19:35 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Bobby McMann (C) 0.09 0 0 0 20 16:56 2 +1 2 0 0 0 0
TOR David Kampf (C) 0.01 0 0 0 18 15:19 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Andrei Svechnikov (R) 0.00 0 1 1 18 15:13 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Max Domi (C) 0.00 0 1 1 17 12:34 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
CAR Sean Walker (D) 0.13 0 0 0 19 15:14 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.13 0 0 0 28 20:16 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Dmitry Orlov (D) 0.09 0 1 1 22 21:20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Conor Timmins (D) 0.06 0 0 0 22 17:44 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Brent Burns (D) 0.05 0 1 1 25 23:06 1 +3 2 0 0 0 0
CAR Jalen Chatfield (D) 0.05 0 0 0 22 20:33 0 +1 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Philippe Myers (D) 0.04 0 0 0 24 17:06 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jaccob Slavin (D) 0.04 0 1 1 22 21:12 1 +4 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Ty Smith (D) 0.03 0 1 1 15 12:18 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Simon Benoit (D) 0.01 0 0 0 27 19:58 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.01 0 0 0 28 18:43 1 -3 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Chris Tanev (D) 0.00 0 0 0 25 20:51 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
CAR Pyotr Kochetkov (G) +0.20% 0.909 0.1 3 30 59:37 33 W 0
TOR Joseph Woll (G) -2.81% 0.849 -0.9 5 28 59:45 33 L 0