ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Sunday, March 2, 2025
1:00 PM ET
PPG Paints Arena (TNT)
TOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
6 – 5
Final/OT
Pittsburgh Penguins
 PIT
52% xGF%
48% xGF%
TOR was expected to score 3.26 goals PIT was expected to score 2.99 goals
P1 P2 P3 OT 0 1 2 3 2 2 Cumulative xG TOR PIT Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Toronto Maple Leafs Pittsburgh Penguins
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 2:00 0.28 0 2:43 0.57 1
Even Strength 56:17 2.80 6 56:17 2.41 4
Penalty Kill 2:43 0.18 0 2:00 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 5:48 0.65 0 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 3:37 0.14 1 13:43 0.66 0
Tied 37:52 2.06 3 37:52 1.83 2
Down 1 13:43 0.41 2 3:37 0.30 2
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 5:48 0.19 1
  • ► Max Domi scores at 2:15 in the 1st period 0.08 xG (1-0)
  • ► Conor Timmins scores at 4:39 in the 1st period 0.06 xG (2-0)
  • ► Cody Glass scores at 10:27 in the 1st period 0.12 xG (2-1)
  • ► Rickard Rakell scores at 11:29 in the 1st period 0.06 xG (2-2)
  • ► Sidney Crosby scores at 13:51 in the 1st period 0.05 xG (2-3)
  • ► Auston Matthews scores at 4:08 in the 2nd period 0.09 xG (3-3)
  • ► Bryan Rust scores at 15:38 in the 2nd period 0.08 xG (3-4)
  • ► John Tavares scores at 19:04 in the 2nd period 0.12 xG (4-4)
  • ► Matthew Knies scores at 19:59 in the 2nd period 0.13 xG (5-4)
  • ► Rickard Rakell scores at 0:10 in the 3rd period 0.12 xG (5-5)
  • ► William Nylander scores at 1:00 in the OT period 0.08 xG (6-5)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TOR TOR xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.67 1 0 1 24 18:22 5 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 0.57 1 1 2 27 21:14 6 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Matthew Knies (L) 0.57 1 1 2 25 18:32 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Sidney Crosby (C) 0.53 1 2 3 26 20:45 5 0 0 1 0 0 0
PIT Rickard Rakell (R) 0.24 2 0 2 27 20:24 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Noel Acciari (C) 0.23 0 0 0 24 18:52 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicholas Robertson (L) 0.23 0 1 1 18 12:25 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Blake Lizotte (C) 0.23 0 1 1 23 16:44 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Bryan Rust (R) 0.23 1 2 3 26 19:14 4 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.22 1 1 2 24 18:48 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Cody Glass (C) 0.21 1 0 1 23 16:22 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Anthony Beauvillier (L) 0.21 0 0 0 19 15:18 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Danton Heinen (L) 0.20 0 0 0 12 07:19 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Evgeni Malkin (C) 0.20 0 0 0 21 15:49 3 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Bobby McMann (C) 0.20 0 1 1 18 13:50 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Kevin Hayes (R) 0.18 0 0 0 16 09:58 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Mitch Marner (R) 0.18 0 1 1 27 20:07 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Philip Tomasino (R) 0.15 0 0 0 19 13:57 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Max Domi (C) 0.14 1 0 1 18 12:18 2 +1 4 0 0 0 0
TOR Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.11 0 1 1 23 17:24 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Emil Bemstrom (C) 0.03 0 0 0 12 07:46 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Ryan Reaves (R) 0.00 0 0 0 12 09:35 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR David Kampf (C) 0.00 0 0 0 15 10:48 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Connor Dewar (C) 0.00 0 0 0 13 08:30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
PIT Erik Karlsson (D) 0.16 0 2 2 31 27:29 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Conor Timmins (D) 0.09 1 0 1 27 17:12 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Simon Benoit (D) 0.09 0 0 0 27 18:06 3 +3 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Philippe Myers (D) 0.07 0 0 0 27 20:21 5 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.07 0 1 1 32 21:55 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.06 0 0 0 30 18:20 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Ryan Shea (D) 0.06 0 1 1 29 23:48 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Matt Grzelcyk (D) 0.06 0 1 1 28 22:24 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Kris Letang (D) 0.03 0 1 1 30 23:12 2 0 2 0 0 0 0
PIT Ryan Graves (D) 0.02 0 0 0 19 10:56 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Vincent Desharnais (D) 0.01 0 0 0 18 10:43 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.00 0 1 1 31 22:30 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TOR Joseph Woll (G) -5.92% 0.853 -2.0 5 29 61:00 34 W 0
PIT Joel Blomqvist (G) -8.30% 0.818 -2.7 6 27 61:00 33 O 0