ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Wednesday, March 12, 2025
7:30 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena (TNT)
BUF
Buffalo Sabres
3 – 7
Final
Detroit Red Wings
 DET
28% xGF%
72% xGF%
BUF was expected to score 1.86 goals DET was expected to score 4.71 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 5 Cumulative xG BUF DET Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Buffalo Sabres Detroit Red Wings
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 4:45 0.37 1 7:55 2.21 3
Even Strength 47:20 1.43 2 47:20 2.44 4
Penalty Kill 7:55 0.06 0 4:45 0.05 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 26:00 1.49 2
Up 1 4:58 0.00 0 18:20 2.45 3
Tied 10:42 0.35 1 10:42 0.42 1
Down 1 18:20 0.35 0 4:58 0.34 1
Down 2+ 26:00 1.16 2 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Tage Thompson scores at 7:38 in the 1st period 0.04 xG (1-0)
  • ► Marco Kasper scores at 12:36 in the 1st period 0.20 xG (1-1)
  • ► Alex DeBrincat scores at 15:40 in the 1st period 0.06 xG (1-2)
  • ► Patrick Kane scores at 19:07 in the 1st period 0.10 xG (1-3)
  • ► Josh Norris scores at 19:25 in the 1st period 0.13 xG (2-3)
  • ► Vladimir Tarasenko scores at 10:54 in the 2nd period 0.09 xG (2-4)
  • ► Zach Benson scores at 18:12 in the 2nd period 0.07 xG (3-4)
  • ► Patrick Kane scores at 1:36 in the 3rd period 0.24 xG (3-5)
  • ► Marco Kasper scores at 5:39 in the 3rd period 0.11 xG (3-6)
  • ► Moritz Seider scores at 14:31 in the 3rd period 0.09 xG (3-7)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
DET DET xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
DET Patrick Kane (R) 0.85 2 3 5 23 17:21 5 +3 0 2 0 0 0
DET Lucas Raymond (L) 0.56 0 2 2 22 20:31 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
DET Alex DeBrincat (R) 0.54 1 3 4 21 15:13 1 +3 4 0 0 0 0
DET Marco Kasper (C) 0.46 2 1 3 21 15:25 3 +3 10 0 0 0 0
DET Dylan Larkin (C) 0.43 0 3 3 21 20:53 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
DET Elmer Soderblom (L) 0.37 0 0 0 20 13:29 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
DET Vladimir Tarasenko (R) 0.33 1 0 1 24 15:14 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
DET Michael Rasmussen (C) 0.30 0 0 0 18 10:24 0 -1 5 0 0 0 0
DET J.T. Compher (L) 0.27 0 0 0 19 13:58 3 0 12 0 0 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.20 1 1 2 25 17:06 3 +2 10 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.19 1 1 2 22 16:23 2 +2 12 1 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.18 0 1 1 23 19:41 2 -1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.13 0 0 0 23 16:20 2 -1 5 0 0 0 0
DET Dominik Shine (R) 0.13 0 0 0 16 09:36 2 -1 10 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Norris (C) 0.13 1 0 1 24 17:25 1 -1 10 0 0 0 0
BUF Jordan Greenway (L) 0.11 0 0 0 19 14:20 1 -2 14 0 0 0 0
DET Tyler Motte (C) 0.10 0 0 0 21 13:22 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.08 0 0 0 20 14:59 1 -2 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Jiri Kulich (C) 0.07 0 0 0 15 11:31 2 -1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.06 0 0 0 14 10:53 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
DET Craig Smith (C) 0.01 0 0 0 22 13:06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.00 0 0 0 19 14:40 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.00 0 0 0 16 09:32 0 -1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Sam Lafferty (C) 0.00 0 0 0 13 07:51 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
DET Moritz Seider (D) 0.23 1 0 1 30 24:30 4 +1 2 1 0 0 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.21 0 0 0 24 22:47 5 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.21 0 1 1 25 20:39 2 +2 10 0 0 0 0
BUF Jacob Bryson (D) 0.10 0 0 0 22 16:16 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Connor Clifton (D) 0.07 0 0 0 20 18:41 1 -3 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.06 0 1 1 29 19:57 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
DET Justin Holl (D) 0.05 0 0 0 25 14:39 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.04 0 0 0 20 17:07 1 -2 10 0 0 0 0
DET Simon Edvinsson (D) 0.03 0 1 1 26 18:45 1 +1 12 0 0 0 0
DET Ben Chiarot (D) 0.02 0 0 0 26 19:29 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
DET Erik Gustafsson (D) 0.00 0 0 0 27 19:01 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
DET Albert Johansson (D) 0.00 0 0 0 26 15:58 0 +1 12 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
DET Petr Mrazek (G) -4.40% 0.885 -1.1 3 23 60:00 26 W 0
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) -7.91% 0.759 -2.3 7 22 60:00 29 L 0