ONGOING MAINTENANCE: 2020-2021 data may be incomplete as backfill is in progress. Expected completion: July 23.
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Thursday, March 27, 2025
7:00 PM ET
KeyBank Center
PIT
Pittsburgh Penguins
3 – 7
Final
Buffalo Sabres
 BUF
42% xGF%
58% xGF%
PIT was expected to score 1.99 goals BUF was expected to score 2.70 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 2 Cumulative xG PIT BUF Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Pittsburgh Penguins Buffalo Sabres
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 4:25 0.35 0 6:07 0.43 0
Even Strength 49:28 1.63 3 49:28 2.19 7
Penalty Kill 6:07 0.00 0 4:25 0.08 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 42:51 1.57 4
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 16:42 1.01 2
Tied 0:27 0.00 0 0:27 0.12 1
Down 1 16:42 0.42 0 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 42:51 1.56 3 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Tage Thompson scores at 0:27 in the 1st period 0.12 xG (0-1)
  • ► Peyton Krebs scores at 4:44 in the 1st period 0.24 xG (0-2)
  • ► Sidney Crosby scores at 11:11 in the 1st period 0.14 xG (1-2)
  • ► Jiri Kulich scores at 3:36 in the 2nd period 0.12 xG (1-3)
  • ► Mattias Samuelsson scores at 5:20 in the 2nd period 0.09 xG (1-4)
  • ► Jiri Kulich scores at 11:34 in the 2nd period 0.04 xG (1-5)
  • ► Tyson Kozak scores at 12:02 in the 2nd period 0.08 xG (1-6)
  • ► Alex Tuch scores at 19:34 in the 2nd period 0.08 xG (1-7)
  • ► Blake Lizotte scores at 2:16 in the 3rd period 0.17 xG (2-7)
  • ► Kevin Hayes scores at 13:54 in the 3rd period 0.11 xG (3-7)
BUF BUF xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
PIT Kevin Hayes (R) 0.68 1 0 1 21 15:13 6 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.45 1 1 2 21 15:02 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jiri Kulich (C) 0.37 2 0 2 30 19:07 4 +3 2 0 0 0 0
PIT Blake Lizotte (C) 0.33 1 0 1 27 19:00 2 -2 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.32 1 1 2 26 19:53 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Bryan Rust (R) 0.26 0 0 0 29 23:32 5 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.25 0 0 0 24 16:58 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Isak Rosen (R) 0.23 0 1 1 19 11:25 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Connor Dewar (C) 0.22 0 0 0 22 12:31 2 -1 9 0 0 0 0
BUF JJ Peterka (R) 0.20 0 0 0 22 18:45 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.18 0 1 1 26 16:31 3 +3 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.17 0 1 1 21 14:43 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Sidney Crosby (C) 0.14 1 0 1 28 22:55 2 -1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Tyson Kozak (C) 0.13 1 1 2 17 09:07 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.10 0 1 1 16 08:55 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.08 1 1 2 23 17:41 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Philip Tomasino (R) 0.03 0 0 0 12 08:45 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Joona Koppanen (L) 0.01 0 0 0 22 16:08 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Danton Heinen (L) 0.00 0 0 0 17 10:52 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Rickard Rakell (R) 0.00 0 1 1 27 23:16 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Noel Acciari (C) 0.00 0 0 0 26 16:26 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Dunne (C) 0.00 0 0 0 13 06:55 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Emil Bemstrom (C) 0.00 0 0 0 7 04:20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
PIT Erik Karlsson (D) 0.23 0 0 0 27 19:27 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.09 1 0 1 27 17:48 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.08 0 2 2 26 20:33 3 +1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Connor Clifton (D) 0.04 0 1 1 24 20:28 2 +2 2 0 0 0 0
PIT Conor Timmins (D) 0.04 0 1 1 26 18:24 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Matt Grzelcyk (D) 0.02 0 1 1 27 23:12 1 -3 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Kris Letang (D) 0.02 0 0 0 29 23:13 3 -3 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jacob Bernard-Docker (D) 0.01 0 0 0 24 16:49 0 +1 5 0 0 0 0
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.00 0 2 2 28 24:01 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Ryan Graves (D) 0.00 0 1 1 18 12:39 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Vladislav Kolyachonok (D) 0.00 0 0 0 14 08:30 0 -1 2 0 0 0 0
PIT Ryan Shea (D) 0.00 0 0 0 17 11:55 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.00 0 1 1 24 17:19 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
BUF James Reimer (G) -0.05% 0.920 -1.0 3 23 60:00 25 W 0
PIT Alex Nedeljkovic (G) -10.27% 0.833 -1.8 3 15 34:22 18 — 0
PIT Tristan Jarry (G) -20.40% 0.667 -2.4 4 8 25:20 12 L 0