ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Thursday, September 25, 2025
7:00 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
BUF
Buffalo Sabres
2 – 5
Final
Detroit Red Wings
 DET
37% xGF%
63% xGF%
BUF was expected to score 3.05 goals DET was expected to score 5.17 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 5 Cumulative xG BUF DET Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Buffalo Sabres Detroit Red Wings
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 7:07 1.56 2 6:54 0.74 1
Even Strength 45:59 1.32 0 45:59 4.09 3
Penalty Kill 6:54 0.17 0 7:07 0.34 1
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 27:25 2.07 1
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 21:10 1.70 1
Tied 11:25 0.48 0 11:25 1.39 3
Down 1 21:10 1.56 2 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 27:25 1.01 0 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Mason Appleton scores at 5:39 in the 1st period 0.18 xG (0-1)
  • ► Noah Ostlund scores at 6:23 in the 1st period 0.14 xG (1-1)
  • ► Michael Brandsegg-Nygård scores at 9:04 in the 1st period 0.10 xG (1-2)
  • ► Josh Doan scores at 6:59 in the 2nd period 0.81 xG (2-2)
  • ► Dylan Larkin scores at 10:04 in the 2nd period 0.17 xG (2-3)
  • ► Moritz Seider scores at 12:35 in the 2nd period 0.10 xG (2-4)
  • ► Andrew Copp scores at 18:23 in the 2nd period 0.19 xG (2-5)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
DET DET xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.95 1 1 2 21 18:28 1 -1 4 1 0 0 0
DET Lucas Raymond (L) 0.62 0 2 2 21 16:54 5 +2 0 0 0 0 0
DET Dylan Larkin (C) 0.56 1 0 1 21 16:44 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
DET Nate Danielson (C) 0.55 0 1 1 21 17:14 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
DET Mason Appleton (C) 0.46 1 0 1 21 14:00 5 +1 0 0 0 0 0
DET Andrew Copp (C) 0.38 1 1 2 22 16:04 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
DET Unknown (?) 0.38 0 0 0 17 13:41 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
DET Emmitt Finnie (C) 0.37 0 0 0 19 14:54 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.36 0 0 0 18 14:51 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
DET Michael Rasmussen (C) 0.29 0 0 0 20 14:54 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
DET Michael Brandsegg-Nygård (R) 0.27 1 0 1 16 12:28 2 +1 4 1 0 0 0
DET Carter Mazur (L) 0.25 0 0 0 18 14:08 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.25 0 2 2 21 18:05 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Justin Danforth (R) 0.25 0 0 0 21 15:34 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
DET Elmer Soderblom (L) 0.24 0 1 1 14 09:49 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
DET Unknown (?) 0.19 0 1 1 24 16:57 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.14 1 1 2 18 18:51 1 -2 0 1 0 0 0
BUF Tyson Kozak (C) 0.13 0 0 0 16 12:30 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.11 0 0 0 22 20:03 0 -1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Dunne (C) 0.10 0 0 0 18 11:53 0 -1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Unknown (?) 0.10 0 0 0 15 09:32 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Unknown (?) 0.09 0 0 0 20 18:01 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Isak Rosen (R) 0.07 0 0 0 15 13:14 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Unknown (?) 0.04 0 0 0 16 09:07 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Konsta Helenius (C) 0.04 0 0 0 17 14:20 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Unknown (?) 0.02 0 0 0 20 12:48 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Unknown (?) 0.01 0 0 0 22 17:57 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
DET Marco Kasper (C) 0.01 0 0 0 19 16:02 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
DET Moritz Seider (D) 0.33 1 0 1 28 21:48 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Metsa (D) 0.21 0 0 0 22 15:49 3 -2 0 0 0 0 0
DET Axel Sandin-Pellikka (D) 0.21 0 1 1 26 21:35 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.17 0 0 0 28 27:06 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
DET Jacob Bernard-Docker (D) 0.04 0 1 1 24 16:06 3 +2 2 0 0 0 0
DET Albert Johansson (D) 0.03 0 0 0 23 17:46 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
DET Ben Chiarot (D) 0.00 0 0 0 26 19:38 1 +1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Michael Kesselring (D) 0.00 0 0 0 29 22:46 0 -1 2 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
DET Unknown (G) +10.06% 1.000 1.0 0 10 28:52 10 — 0
DET Cam Talbot (G) +0.53% 0.750 0.0 2 6 31:08 8 W 0
BUF Unknown (G) +0.43% 0.875 0.2 5 35 60:00 40 L 0