ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Friday, September 26, 2025
7:00 PM ET
Benchmark International Arena (SCRIPPS)
CAR
Carolina Hurricanes
5 – 6
Final
Tampa Bay Lightning
 TBL
52% xGF%
48% xGF%
CAR was expected to score 3.82 goals TBL was expected to score 3.59 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 2 Cumulative xG CAR TBL Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Carolina Hurricanes Tampa Bay Lightning
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 12:36 1.59 1 6:55 1.23 2
Even Strength 40:29 2.20 4 40:29 1.97 4
Penalty Kill 6:55 0.03 0 12:36 0.39 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 16:52 0.82 1
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 38:05 2.51 4
Tied 5:03 0.14 0 5:03 0.27 1
Down 1 38:05 1.75 0 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 16:52 1.93 5 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Zemgus Girgensons scores at 5:03 in the 1st period 0.15 xG (0-1)
  • ► Zemgus Girgensons scores at 11:30 in the 1st period 0.06 xG (0-2)
  • ► Givani Smith scores at 14:46 in the 1st period 0.15 xG (1-2)
  • ► Wojciech Stachowiak scores at 19:05 in the 2nd period 0.15 xG (1-3)
  • ► Maxim Groshev scores at 2:55 in the 3rd period 0.08 xG (1-4)
  • ► Gleb Trikozov scores at 3:25 in the 3rd period 0.21 xG (2-4)
  • ► Jesperi Kotkaniemi scores at 4:15 in the 3rd period 0.08 xG (3-4)
  • ► Wojciech Stachowiak scores at 8:55 in the 3rd period 0.16 xG (3-5)
  • ► Noel Gunler scores at 10:00 in the 3rd period 0.18 xG (4-5)
  • ► Oliver Bjorkstrand scores at 12:27 in the 3rd period 0.15 xG (4-6)
  • ► Bradly Nadeau scores at 19:48 in the 3rd period 0.22 xG (5-6)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TBL TBL xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
CAR Bradly Nadeau (L) 0.77 1 1 2 21 20:40 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Tyson Jost (C) 0.65 0 0 0 21 22:05 5 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.56 0 1 1 17 19:16 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Unknown (?) 0.51 1 1 2 17 15:22 2 +1 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.44 0 0 0 16 16:24 3 -1 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Dylan Duke (L) 0.42 0 1 1 18 13:01 1 -2 6 0 0 0 0
CAR Skyler Brind'Amour (C) 0.41 0 0 0 19 15:09 5 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Unknown (?) 0.40 2 1 3 17 12:16 3 +1 0 1 0 0 0
CAR Jesperi Kotkaniemi (C) 0.32 1 0 1 21 17:43 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.31 1 1 2 13 13:21 3 +2 0 1 0 0 0
TBL Unknown (?) 0.29 0 0 0 18 12:06 2 -1 2 0 0 0 0
CAR Unknown (?) 0.26 1 0 1 18 16:31 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Unknown (?) 0.24 0 1 1 14 10:36 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Unknown (?) 0.22 1 0 1 12 09:09 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.21 2 0 2 20 14:25 2 +1 4 0 0 0 0
CAR Unknown (?) 0.18 0 1 1 17 13:51 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Justin Robidas (C) 0.14 0 2 2 20 15:43 0 +2 2 0 0 0 0
CAR Unknown (?) 0.12 0 1 1 20 17:41 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.12 0 1 1 15 17:34 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Unknown (?) 0.11 0 1 1 14 11:17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Unknown (?) 0.02 0 0 0 19 14:52 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Josiah Slavin (L) 0.00 0 0 0 17 13:40 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Jack Finley (C) 0.00 0 0 0 22 14:51 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR William Carrier (L) 0.00 0 0 0 15 10:44 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Unknown (?) 0.00 0 0 0 20 17:29 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Dominic James (C) 0.00 0 1 1 21 15:32 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Unknown (?) 0.00 0 0 0 19 16:20 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TBL Maxim Groshev (D) 0.18 1 0 1 26 17:35 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Max Crozier (D) 0.14 0 0 0 32 25:51 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Joel Nystrom (D) 0.12 0 2 2 21 18:59 2 +3 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.09 0 1 1 9 07:24 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Alexander Nikishin (D) 0.06 0 0 0 23 21:49 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.05 0 1 1 25 26:03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Mike Reilly (D) 0.05 0 0 0 23 19:05 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Simon Lundmark (D) 0.01 0 1 1 20 15:42 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Emil Lilleberg (D) 0.01 0 0 0 28 22:57 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TBL Jonas Johansson (G) +5.80% 0.941 1.0 1 16 40:00 17 — 0
CAR Unknown (G) -8.62% 0.786 -2.4 6 22 58:20 28 L 0
TBL Unknown (G) -15.48% 0.714 -2.2 4 10 19:49 14 W 0