ONGOING MAINTENANCE: 2020-2021 data may be incomplete as backfill is in progress. Expected completion: July 23.
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Thursday, October 2, 2025
7:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena (NHLN)
DET
Detroit Red Wings
3 – 1
Final
Toronto Maple Leafs
 TOR
78% xGF%
22% xGF%
DET was expected to score 5.38 goals TOR was expected to score 1.55 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 5 Cumulative xG DET TOR Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Detroit Red Wings Toronto Maple Leafs
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 11:13 2.16 0 5:52 0.49 1
Even Strength 42:55 3.23 2 42:55 1.06 0
Penalty Kill 5:52 0.00 0 11:13 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 1 6:09 0.09 0 42:56 0.86 0
Tied 9:32 0.85 1 9:32 0.53 1
Down 1 42:56 4.44 1 6:09 0.09 0
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 1:23 0.07 0
  • ► Auston Matthews scores at 2:08 in the 1st period 0.14 xG (0-1)
  • ► Dylan Larkin scores at 5:04 in the 3rd period 0.08 xG (1-1)
  • ► Alex DeBrincat scores at 12:28 in the 3rd period 0.08 xG (2-1)
  • ► Emmitt Finnie scores at 18:37 in the 3rd period (3-1)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
DET DET xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
DET Michael Rasmussen (C) 0.96 0 0 0 22 16:12 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
DET Emmitt Finnie (C) 0.60 1 1 2 20 14:50 4 +2 0 0 0 0 0
DET Marco Kasper (C) 0.60 0 0 0 24 17:15 7 +1 0 0 0 0 0
DET Alex DeBrincat (R) 0.50 1 0 1 25 20:47 5 +1 0 0 0 0 0
DET Lucas Raymond (L) 0.46 0 0 0 25 19:24 2 +2 2 0 0 0 0
DET Dylan Larkin (C) 0.37 1 0 1 25 21:38 3 +2 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 0.30 1 0 1 25 19:11 2 -1 0 1 0 0 0
DET Andrew Copp (C) 0.25 0 0 0 23 15:09 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
DET Elmer Soderblom (L) 0.24 0 0 0 17 12:17 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
DET Jonatan Berggren (R) 0.23 0 0 0 18 12:08 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.20 0 1 1 20 15:44 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Matthew Knies (L) 0.18 0 1 1 25 18:19 1 -1 4 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicolas Roy (C) 0.17 0 0 0 18 12:47 2 -1 2 0 0 0 0
DET Michael Brandsegg-Nygård (R) 0.15 0 1 1 18 12:35 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.14 0 0 0 21 17:00 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Dakota Joshua (C) 0.11 0 0 0 19 11:43 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Bobby McMann (C) 0.11 0 0 0 18 16:01 2 0 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Matias Maccelli (L) 0.08 0 0 0 17 13:16 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Steven Lorentz (C) 0.07 0 0 0 16 10:03 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Easton Cowan (R) 0.04 0 0 0 18 12:23 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
DET Mason Appleton (C) 0.00 0 0 0 22 15:48 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Scott Laughton (C) 0.00 0 0 0 17 11:15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Max Domi (C) 0.00 0 0 0 20 14:16 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
DET Axel Sandin-Pellikka (D) 0.54 0 0 0 17 15:57 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
DET Simon Edvinsson (D) 0.16 0 0 0 27 18:04 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
DET Ben Chiarot (D) 0.11 0 1 1 25 18:38 4 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.08 0 0 0 26 20:56 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
DET Travis Hamonic (D) 0.07 0 0 0 19 15:03 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
DET Moritz Seider (D) 0.07 0 1 1 25 22:41 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
DET Erik Gustafsson (D) 0.04 0 0 0 16 12:00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Simon Benoit (D) 0.04 0 0 0 25 16:23 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.02 0 0 0 31 22:27 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
DET Albert Johansson (D) 0.02 0 0 0 22 14:01 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Brandon Carlo (D) 0.01 0 0 0 25 16:54 1 -1 4 0 0 0 0
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.00 0 0 0 27 20:19 0 -3 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Chris Tanev (D) 0.00 0 0 0 28 18:50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TOR Anthony Stolarz (G) +8.25% 0.951 3.4 2 39 58:13 41 L 0
DET Cam Talbot (G) +2.91% 0.947 0.6 1 18 59:27 19 W 0