ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Tuesday, October 14, 2025
7:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena (FDSNSO)
NSH
Nashville Predators
4 – 7
Final
Toronto Maple Leafs
 TOR
45% xGF%
55% xGF%
NSH was expected to score 2.71 goals TOR was expected to score 3.36 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 2 Cumulative xG NSH TOR Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Nashville Predators Toronto Maple Leafs
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 4:50 0.40 0 4:00 0.91 0
Even Strength 51:10 2.32 4 51:10 2.45 5
Penalty Kill 4:00 0.00 0 4:50 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 33:23 1.98 1
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 13:11 0.53 2
Tied 13:26 0.37 0 13:26 0.84 2
Down 1 13:11 0.41 1 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 33:23 1.94 3 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Jake McCabe scores at 8:42 in the 1st period 0.02 xG (0-1)
  • ► Oliver Ekman-Larsson scores at 13:34 in the 1st period 0.03 xG (0-2)
  • ► Michael McCarron scores at 3:21 in the 2nd period 0.11 xG (1-2)
  • ► Erik Haula scores at 4:05 in the 2nd period 0.11 xG (2-2)
  • ► John Tavares scores at 8:49 in the 2nd period 0.16 xG (2-3)
  • ► Bobby McMann scores at 16:24 in the 2nd period 0.06 xG (2-4)
  • ► Auston Matthews scores at 10:42 in the 3rd period 0.11 xG (2-5)
  • ► Roman Josi scores at 16:06 in the 3rd period 0.02 xG (3-5)
  • ► Auston Matthews scores at 16:50 in the 3rd period (3-6)
  • ► Nick Perbix scores at 18:49 in the 3rd period 0.04 xG (4-6)
  • ► William Nylander scores at 19:36 in the 3rd period (4-7)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TOR TOR xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.57 1 2 3 20 16:37 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.52 1 2 3 21 18:51 4 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 0.48 2 0 2 24 21:31 5 +3 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Ryan O'Reilly (C) 0.43 0 0 0 21 18:57 0 -3 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Matthew Knies (L) 0.41 0 3 3 22 18:55 3 +2 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Bobby McMann (C) 0.39 1 0 1 17 15:04 4 +1 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Luke Evangelista (R) 0.38 0 0 0 17 12:51 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Steven Stamkos (C) 0.33 0 0 0 20 17:23 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Jonathan Marchessault (C) 0.28 0 1 1 22 17:30 4 -3 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Fedor Svechkov (C) 0.18 0 0 0 21 14:30 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicholas Robertson (L) 0.18 0 1 1 17 12:26 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Matias Maccelli (L) 0.18 0 0 0 15 12:23 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Cole Smith (L) 0.17 0 0 0 20 13:05 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Filip Forsberg (L) 0.16 0 0 0 21 17:29 4 -3 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Tyson Jost (C) 0.15 0 0 0 17 11:24 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Dakota Joshua (C) 0.13 0 1 1 16 11:28 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Erik Haula (L) 0.11 1 0 1 24 17:29 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Michael McCarron (R) 0.11 1 0 1 21 12:48 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Calle Jarnkrok (C) 0.06 0 0 0 18 11:46 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Max Domi (C) 0.05 0 0 0 16 12:48 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Ozzy Wiesblatt (R) 0.03 0 2 2 17 09:30 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicolas Roy (C) 0.00 0 0 0 18 11:34 0 -2 2 0 0 0 0
NSH Michael Bunting (L) 0.00 0 0 0 19 15:30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Easton Cowan (R) 0.00 0 1 1 17 14:05 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
NSH Roman Josi (D) 0.13 1 0 1 27 23:13 4 -3 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.10 0 0 0 26 20:01 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Simon Benoit (D) 0.09 0 1 1 26 18:02 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Brandon Carlo (D) 0.08 0 0 0 28 17:00 2 -1 2 0 0 0 0
NSH Brady Skjei (D) 0.08 0 1 1 26 22:50 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Adam Wilsby (D) 0.08 0 2 2 27 18:15 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
NSH Nick Perbix (D) 0.07 1 1 2 29 21:45 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.04 1 2 3 28 20:17 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Chris Tanev (D) 0.04 0 0 0 28 19:42 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.03 1 1 2 29 21:30 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Justin Barron (D) 0.02 0 0 0 23 14:37 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
NSH Spencer Stastney (D) 0.01 0 0 0 26 15:44 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TOR Cayden Primeau (G) -4.28% 0.867 -1.3 4 26 60:00 30 W 0
NSH Justus Annunen (G) -6.31% 0.808 -1.6 5 21 59:10 26 L 0