ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Saturday, October 25, 2025
5:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena (MSG-B)
BUF
Buffalo Sabres
3 – 4
Final/OT
Toronto Maple Leafs
 TOR
54% xGF%
46% xGF%
BUF was expected to score 2.75 goals TOR was expected to score 2.33 goals
P1 P2 P3 OT 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG BUF TOR Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Buffalo Sabres Toronto Maple Leafs
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play — 1.08 1 — 0.90 0
Even Strength — 1.67 2 — 1.26 4
Penalty Kill — 0.00 0 — 0.16 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 1 10:57 0.37 0 12:24 0.60 0
Tied 38:07 2.08 2 38:07 1.15 2
Down 1 12:24 0.30 1 10:57 0.58 2
  • ► Tage Thompson scores at 13:40 in the 1st period 0.05 xG (1-0)
  • ► Nicholas Robertson scores at 18:33 in the 1st period 0.11 xG (1-1)
  • ► Matias Maccelli scores at 1:59 in the 2nd period 0.09 xG (1-2)
  • ► Bowen Byram scores at 14:23 in the 2nd period 0.02 xG (2-2)
  • ► Tage Thompson scores at 7:06 in the 3rd period 0.14 xG (3-2)
  • ► Dakota Joshua scores at 13:10 in the 3rd period 0.04 xG (3-3)
  • ► John Tavares scores at 1:28 in the OT period 0.16 xG (3-4)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TOR TOR xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.60 1 1 2 19 17:23 5 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.55 2 0 2 24 18:35 5 0 0 1 0 0 0
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.42 0 1 1 20 14:54 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.36 0 0 0 20 15:19 3 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Matthew Knies (L) 0.36 0 2 2 23 22:26 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.33 0 0 0 19 13:34 1 0 17 0 0 0 0
TOR Matias Maccelli (L) 0.25 1 0 1 17 15:27 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicholas Robertson (L) 0.22 1 0 1 19 14:54 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 0.20 0 1 1 27 23:24 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Dunne (C) 0.18 0 0 0 19 12:14 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.17 0 0 0 13 08:39 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.16 0 0 0 22 14:19 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Steven Lorentz (C) 0.12 0 0 0 12 08:36 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Max Domi (C) 0.11 0 0 0 16 10:29 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Easton Cowan (R) 0.11 0 1 1 16 10:58 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicolas Roy (C) 0.09 0 0 0 25 16:07 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Dakota Joshua (C) 0.04 1 0 1 19 12:55 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Bobby McMann (C) 0.04 0 0 0 20 17:52 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jiri Kulich (C) 0.03 0 1 1 22 15:24 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.01 0 0 0 26 15:04 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.01 0 0 0 26 19:50 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.00 0 0 0 21 15:08 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.00 0 1 1 25 17:47 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Calle Jarnkrok (C) 0.00 0 0 0 14 10:34 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.22 0 1 1 28 23:42 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.11 1 0 1 25 18:21 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.09 0 0 0 29 23:55 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.08 0 0 0 26 19:29 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.06 0 1 1 27 22:43 1 -1 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.04 0 0 0 29 20:17 0 +1 4 0 0 0 0
BUF Conor Timmins (D) 0.04 0 1 1 27 21:48 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Simon Benoit (D) 0.04 0 0 0 27 18:09 1 -1 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.03 0 1 1 28 19:30 2 +1 7 0 0 0 0
TOR Philippe Myers (D) 0.01 0 0 0 25 16:54 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Metsa (D) 0.00 0 0 0 8 07:08 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Brandon Carlo (D) 0.00 0 1 1 32 22:19 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TOR Cayden Primeau (G) -0.95% 0.885 -0.2 3 23 61:28 26 W 0
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) -7.28% 0.826 -1.7 4 19 61:28 23 O 0