ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Wednesday, November 26, 2025
7:00 PM ET
PPG Paints Arena (MSG-B)
BUF
Buffalo Sabres
2 – 4
Final
Pittsburgh Penguins
 PIT
65% xGF%
35% xGF%
BUF was expected to score 3.22 goals PIT was expected to score 1.76 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG BUF PIT Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Buffalo Sabres Pittsburgh Penguins
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play — 0.41 0 — 0.22 0
Even Strength — 2.82 2 — 1.53 3
Penalty Kill — 0.00 0 — 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 38:14 1.11 1
Tied 17:40 0.14 0 17:40 0.64 2
Down 1 38:14 2.60 1 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 4:06 0.48 1 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Mathew Dumba scores at 17:09 in the 1st period 0.04 xG (0-1)
  • ► Jason Zucker scores at 7:20 in the 3rd period 0.13 xG (1-1)
  • ► Bryan Rust scores at 7:51 in the 3rd period 0.07 xG (1-2)
  • ► Kevin Hayes scores at 12:34 in the 3rd period 0.14 xG (1-3)
  • ► Jack Quinn scores at 15:42 in the 3rd period 0.11 xG (2-3)
  • ► Connor Dewar scores at 19:02 in the 3rd period (2-4)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
PIT PIT xWin%
—
Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.62 1 1 2 22 18:39 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.54 1 1 2 21 18:28 4 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Kevin Hayes (R) 0.42 1 0 1 18 15:23 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.31 0 0 0 23 17:40 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.27 0 0 0 16 13:27 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.24 0 0 0 19 16:02 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Bryan Rust (R) 0.22 1 0 1 20 16:26 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Joona Koppanen (L) 0.19 0 0 0 16 13:02 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Sidney Crosby (C) 0.18 0 0 0 20 18:46 4 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.18 0 0 0 21 18:33 2 -3 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.15 0 1 1 22 18:01 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Dunne (C) 0.13 0 0 0 10 08:11 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Tristan Broz (C) 0.13 0 0 0 15 11:30 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Danton Heinen (L) 0.12 0 1 1 18 14:59 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Anthony Mantha (R) 0.12 0 0 0 17 17:37 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.07 0 0 0 21 16:09 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Evgeni Malkin (C) 0.07 0 0 0 20 18:46 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.02 0 0 0 11 09:10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.01 0 0 0 13 09:44 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Blake Lizotte (C) 0.00 0 0 0 17 12:46 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Ville Koivunen (R) 0.00 0 0 0 13 11:33 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Connor Dewar (C) 0.00 1 0 1 20 17:13 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Tommy Novak (C) 0.00 0 0 0 15 13:53 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tyson Kozak (C) 0.00 0 0 0 20 15:22 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.36 0 1 1 25 27:47 5 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.16 0 0 0 25 25:06 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Kris Letang (D) 0.15 0 0 0 22 20:50 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Conor Timmins (D) 0.12 0 0 0 18 14:06 1 -1 2 0 0 0 0
PIT Mathew Dumba (D) 0.06 1 0 1 18 16:16 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Ryan Shea (D) 0.04 0 2 2 21 19:10 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Erik Karlsson (D) 0.04 0 1 1 23 23:48 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.02 0 0 0 20 19:25 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.01 0 0 0 23 20:13 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Parker Wotherspoon (D) 0.01 0 1 1 22 22:37 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jacob Bryson (D) 0.00 0 0 0 16 12:34 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Ryan Graves (D) 0.00 0 0 0 18 15:25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
PIT Tristan Jarry (G) +3.95% 0.936 1.2 2 29 60:00 31 W 0
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) -6.91% 0.833 -1.2 3 15 59:23 18 L 0