ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Saturday, December 20, 2025
7:00 PM ET
Benchmark International Arena (FDSNSO)
CAR
Carolina Hurricanes
4 – 6
Final
Tampa Bay Lightning
 TBL
36% xGF%
64% xGF%
CAR was expected to score 2.10 goals TBL was expected to score 3.75 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 Cumulative xG CAR TBL Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Carolina Hurricanes Tampa Bay Lightning
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 10:46 0.91 2 6:00 0.49 0
Even Strength 43:14 1.17 2 43:14 3.20 5
Penalty Kill 6:00 0.02 0 10:46 0.06 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 17:20 0.93 1 0:27 0.00 0
Up 1 17:00 0.42 1 12:55 0.40 0
Tied 12:18 0.54 2 12:18 0.42 1
Down 1 12:55 0.20 0 17:00 1.80 2
Down 2+ 0:27 0.01 0 17:20 1.13 2
  • ► Eric Robinson scores at 2:42 in the 1st period 0.05 xG (1-0)
  • ► Jackson Blake scores at 4:00 in the 1st period 0.13 xG (2-0)
  • ► Bradly Nadeau scores at 12:27 in the 1st period 0.14 xG (3-0)
  • ► Gage Goncalves scores at 0:30 in the 2nd period 0.19 xG (3-1)
  • ► Brayden Point scores at 1:20 in the 2nd period 0.34 xG (3-2)
  • ► Jack Finley scores at 16:36 in the 2nd period 0.17 xG (3-3)
  • ► Andrei Svechnikov scores at 2:47 in the 3rd period 0.23 xG (4-3)
  • ► Ryan McDonagh scores at 3:13 in the 3rd period 0.23 xG (4-4)
  • ► Jake Guentzel scores at 6:38 in the 3rd period 0.17 xG (4-5)
  • ► Jake Guentzel scores at 19:33 in the 3rd period (4-6)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TBL TBL xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.71 2 0 2 18 19:19 5 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.62 1 0 1 20 18:25 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Andrei Svechnikov (R) 0.47 1 0 1 21 18:12 2 -1 4 0 0 0 0
CAR Bradly Nadeau (L) 0.42 1 0 1 17 13:06 4 -2 0 1 0 0 0
TBL Yanni Gourde (C) 0.33 0 1 1 23 16:13 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nick Paul (L) 0.32 0 1 1 17 12:50 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Jack Finley (C) 0.30 1 0 1 13 08:19 2 +2 4 0 0 0 0
CAR Taylor Hall (L) 0.26 0 0 0 20 15:52 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.24 0 0 0 29 22:30 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Eric Robinson (L) 0.22 1 0 1 16 13:50 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.19 1 0 1 12 10:18 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.18 0 1 1 16 12:26 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Logan Stankoven (C) 0.17 0 1 1 19 16:22 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Sebastian Aho (C) 0.14 0 0 0 23 21:19 1 -3 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jackson Blake (R) 0.13 1 0 1 20 19:25 1 -3 0 1 0 0 0
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.12 0 1 1 21 19:25 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.04 0 0 0 20 13:44 1 +1 2 0 0 0 0
CAR Nikolaj Ehlers (L) 0.04 0 1 1 22 19:36 1 -3 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jordan Staal (C) 0.00 0 1 1 21 15:08 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Dominic James (C) 0.00 0 2 2 13 10:44 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Mark Jankowski (L) 0.00 0 1 1 18 10:55 0 +1 2 0 0 0 0
CAR Jesperi Kotkaniemi (C) 0.00 0 1 1 15 10:06 0 +1 4 0 0 0 0
TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.00 0 0 0 16 13:01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR William Carrier (L) 0.00 0 0 0 15 09:50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TBL Darren Raddysh (D) 0.28 0 0 0 19 23:06 3 +1 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.23 1 1 2 25 19:34 1 +3 0 0 0 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.12 0 1 1 22 22:55 4 +2 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Sean Walker (D) 0.10 0 0 0 22 18:05 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR K'Andre Miller (D) 0.05 0 0 0 22 21:28 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Declan Carlile (D) 0.05 0 0 0 17 15:22 1 0 4 0 0 0 0
CAR Jalen Chatfield (D) 0.03 0 0 0 24 19:59 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Shayne Gostisbehere (D) 0.03 0 1 1 23 18:11 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Alexander Nikishin (D) 0.02 0 0 0 22 19:45 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Mike Reilly (D) 0.01 0 0 0 19 13:45 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Max Crozier (D) 0.01 0 1 1 19 16:42 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.00 0 2 2 20 16:42 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
CAR Pyotr Kochetkov (G) -4.46% 0.821 -1.2 5 23 59:06 28 L 0
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) -8.65% 0.818 -1.9 4 18 60:00 22 W 0