ONGOING MAINTENANCE: 2020-2021 data may be incomplete as backfill is in progress. Expected completion: July 23.
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Tuesday, December 23, 2025
4:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena (TNT)
PIT
Pittsburgh Penguins
3 – 6
Final
Toronto Maple Leafs
 TOR
44% xGF%
56% xGF%
PIT was expected to score 2.32 goals TOR was expected to score 2.98 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 2 Cumulative xG PIT TOR Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Pittsburgh Penguins Toronto Maple Leafs
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 1:38 0.26 0 2:00 0.37 0
Even Strength 56:22 2.07 3 56:22 2.61 4
Penalty Kill 2:00 0.00 0 1:38 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 6:08 0.18 0
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 30:27 1.38 1
Tied 23:25 0.74 0 23:25 1.42 3
Down 1 30:27 1.23 2 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 6:08 0.35 1 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► William Nylander scores at 9:07 in the 1st period 0.24 xG (0-1)
  • ► Bryan Rust scores at 9:51 in the 1st period 0.14 xG (1-1)
  • ► Matias Maccelli scores at 13:34 in the 1st period 0.01 xG (1-2)
  • ► Steven Lorentz scores at 7:38 in the 2nd period 0.15 xG (1-3)
  • ► Rutger McGroarty scores at 11:43 in the 2nd period 0.04 xG (2-3)
  • ► Anthony Mantha scores at 1:00 in the 3rd period 0.02 xG (3-3)
  • ► Max Domi scores at 11:35 in the 3rd period 0.14 xG (3-4)
  • ► Bobby McMann scores at 17:57 in the 3rd period (3-5)
  • ► William Nylander scores at 18:36 in the 3rd period (3-6)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TOR TOR xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.55 2 2 4 20 18:21 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Steven Lorentz (C) 0.55 1 0 1 17 12:53 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Rickard Rakell (R) 0.47 0 0 0 24 17:18 3 -3 0 0 0 0 0
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.47 0 1 1 21 18:26 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Bryan Rust (R) 0.41 1 0 1 25 19:05 3 -3 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Max Domi (C) 0.35 1 1 2 21 16:56 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Bobby McMann (C) 0.29 1 0 1 22 16:56 4 +1 2 0 0 0 0
PIT Tommy Novak (C) 0.24 0 0 0 17 14:53 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Justin Brazeau (R) 0.22 0 1 1 16 13:09 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Anthony Mantha (R) 0.19 1 0 1 19 14:52 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Sidney Crosby (C) 0.16 0 1 1 23 18:21 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Rutger McGroarty (R) 0.15 1 0 1 17 12:16 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 0.10 0 0 0 24 19:17 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicolas Roy (C) 0.09 0 0 0 13 09:50 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Noel Acciari (C) 0.08 0 0 0 17 13:28 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Matias Maccelli (L) 0.08 1 0 1 20 16:10 2 +1 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicholas Robertson (L) 0.06 0 0 0 14 10:41 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Scott Laughton (C) 0.03 0 0 0 17 12:42 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Kevin Hayes (R) 0.03 0 0 0 15 11:54 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Ben Kindel (C) 0.02 0 0 0 19 12:49 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
PIT Connor Dewar (C) 0.00 0 0 0 18 14:41 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Matthew Knies (L) 0.00 0 1 1 16 12:07 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Dakota Joshua (C) 0.00 0 0 0 17 12:33 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Ville Koivunen (R) 0.00 0 0 0 16 12:18 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
PIT Erik Karlsson (D) 0.16 0 0 0 25 22:42 6 -4 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.14 0 0 0 32 24:26 3 +5 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Jack St. Ivany (D) 0.14 0 0 0 20 17:01 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Philippe Myers (D) 0.10 0 1 1 21 15:11 3 0 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.08 0 1 1 30 21:10 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Ryan Shea (D) 0.05 0 0 0 21 17:27 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Troy Stecher (D) 0.04 0 0 0 23 17:37 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.03 0 0 0 28 22:36 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Chris Tanev (D) 0.03 0 0 0 28 17:23 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Kris Letang (D) 0.01 0 1 1 23 20:11 2 -2 2 0 0 0 0
PIT Brett Kulak (D) 0.00 0 0 0 22 20:24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Parker Wotherspoon (D) 0.00 0 1 1 24 22:04 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TOR Joseph Woll (G) -2.12% 0.906 -0.7 3 29 60:00 32 W 0
PIT Stuart Skinner (G) -3.52% 0.862 -1.0 4 25 59:07 29 L 0