ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Saturday, December 27, 2025
7:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena (SCRIPPS)
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
4 – 2
Final
Florida Panthers
 FLA
38% xGF%
62% xGF%
TBL was expected to score 2.37 goals FLA was expected to score 3.87 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 Cumulative xG TBL FLA Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Tampa Bay Lightning Florida Panthers
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 10:24 0.55 0 15:34 2.53 1
Even Strength 34:02 1.51 2 34:02 1.16 1
Penalty Kill 15:34 0.31 1 10:24 0.18 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 5:30 0.01 0 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 34:38 1.38 1 7:28 0.29 0
Tied 12:24 0.56 1 12:24 0.41 1
Down 1 7:28 0.41 1 34:38 2.73 0
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 5:30 0.44 1
  • ► Eetu Luostarinen scores at 5:37 in the 1st period 0.07 xG (0-1)
  • ► Jake Guentzel scores at 13:05 in the 1st period 0.10 xG (1-1)
  • ► Pontus Holmberg scores at 19:52 in the 1st period 0.08 xG (2-1)
  • ► Nikita Kucherov scores at 2:31 in the 2nd period 0.17 xG (3-1)
  • ► Brad Marchand scores at 7:05 in the 2nd period 0.15 xG (3-2)
  • ► Nikita Kucherov scores at 19:04 in the 3rd period (4-2)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TBL TBL xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
FLA Eetu Luostarinen (C) 0.85 1 0 1 22 20:14 5 +1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Sam Reinhart (C) 0.67 0 1 1 29 24:43 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Brad Marchand (L) 0.64 1 0 1 28 21:55 3 -4 2 1 0 0 0
FLA Sam Bennett (C) 0.53 0 1 1 26 19:19 2 -4 10 0 0 0 0
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.39 1 0 1 27 27:14 3 +1 2 0 0 0 0
FLA Mackie Samoskevich (R) 0.37 0 1 1 23 18:14 2 0 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.36 1 0 1 20 13:20 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.31 2 0 2 17 18:29 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.23 0 1 1 16 17:16 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.22 0 0 0 14 12:13 0 0 6 0 0 0 0
FLA Evan Rodrigues (C) 0.19 0 1 1 24 16:56 3 +1 2 0 0 0 0
FLA Jack Studnicka (C) 0.15 0 0 0 9 03:42 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.13 0 0 0 24 16:06 3 0 2 0 0 0 0
FLA Carter Verhaeghe (C) 0.13 0 0 0 20 14:37 1 -3 4 0 0 0 0
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.11 0 2 2 28 17:10 1 +1 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.10 0 1 1 14 10:52 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA A.J. Greer (L) 0.08 0 0 0 15 10:12 0 0 6 0 0 0 0
TBL Nick Paul (L) 0.07 0 0 0 19 14:22 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Yanni Gourde (C) 0.03 0 1 1 22 15:04 1 +1 6 0 0 0 0
FLA Anton Lundell (C) 0.02 0 0 0 26 20:13 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Luke Kunin (C) 0.01 0 0 0 11 04:39 1 0 15 0 0 0 0
TBL Scott Sabourin (R) 0.00 0 0 0 10 06:32 0 0 26 0 0 0 0
FLA Jesper Boqvist (C) 0.00 0 0 0 15 07:51 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Curtis Douglas (C) 0.00 0 0 0 6 03:45 0 0 17 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TBL Darren Raddysh (D) 0.23 0 0 0 29 25:07 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Max Crozier (D) 0.15 0 1 1 27 20:25 1 +2 6 0 0 0 0
FLA Gustav Forsling (D) 0.08 0 0 0 22 19:00 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Jeff Petry (D) 0.06 0 0 0 22 14:28 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Seth Jones (D) 0.05 0 0 0 28 25:53 2 -3 2 0 0 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.02 0 0 0 29 22:28 1 +1 10 0 0 0 0
FLA Uvis Balinskis (D) 0.02 0 0 0 15 09:51 1 -1 2 0 0 0 0
FLA Aaron Ekblad (D) 0.01 0 0 0 26 20:36 0 +1 4 0 0 0 0
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.00 0 0 0 24 16:42 1 +1 8 0 0 0 0
TBL Declan Carlile (D) 0.00 0 1 1 25 18:32 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Niko Mikkola (D) 0.00 0 0 0 23 16:47 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Steven Santini (D) 0.00 0 0 0 14 07:58 0 +1 2 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) +7.20% 0.923 1.9 2 24 59:46 26 W 0
FLA Sergei Bobrovsky (G) -2.64% 0.875 -0.6 3 21 58:50 24 L 0