ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Monday, December 29, 2025
7:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena (SCRIPPS)
WSH
Washington Capitals
3 – 5
Final
Florida Panthers
 FLA
48% xGF%
52% xGF%
WSH was expected to score 3.54 goals FLA was expected to score 3.79 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 Cumulative xG WSH FLA Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Washington Capitals Florida Panthers
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 9:29 1.70 2 9:28 1.14 1
Even Strength 41:03 1.36 1 41:03 2.65 3
Penalty Kill 9:28 0.47 0 9:29 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 1 3:47 0.00 0 12:45 0.75 0
Tied 42:53 2.19 2 42:53 2.39 2
Down 1 12:45 1.34 1 3:47 0.65 2
  • ► Tom Wilson scores at 3:53 in the 1st period 0.09 xG (1-0)
  • ► Anton Lundell scores at 4:35 in the 1st period 0.18 xG (1-1)
  • ► Sam Reinhart scores at 12:45 in the 1st period 0.04 xG (1-2)
  • ► Tom Wilson scores at 19:17 in the 1st period 0.15 xG (2-2)
  • ► Dylan Strome scores at 3:11 in the 3rd period 0.04 xG (3-2)
  • ► Brad Marchand scores at 6:16 in the 3rd period 0.08 xG (3-3)
  • ► Aaron Ekblad scores at 13:12 in the 3rd period 0.10 xG (3-4)
  • ► Sam Reinhart scores at 19:25 in the 3rd period (3-5)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
FLA FLA xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
WSH Tom Wilson (R) 0.79 2 1 3 24 20:48 6 +1 0 1 0 0 0
FLA Mackie Samoskevich (R) 0.63 0 0 0 19 15:50 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Anton Lundell (C) 0.50 1 1 2 26 20:14 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Sam Reinhart (C) 0.49 2 1 3 26 23:25 5 +3 0 1 0 0 0
WSH Dylan Strome (C) 0.49 1 2 3 19 20:56 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Aliaksei Protas (C) 0.42 0 1 1 23 17:19 3 -2 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Nic Dowd (C) 0.37 0 0 0 18 14:38 3 0 2 0 0 0 0
FLA Jesper Boqvist (C) 0.37 0 0 0 10 07:39 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Brad Marchand (L) 0.36 1 1 2 24 21:28 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Carter Verhaeghe (C) 0.35 0 0 0 20 14:55 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Sam Bennett (C) 0.33 0 1 1 24 20:51 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Ryan Leonard (R) 0.28 0 0 0 18 14:13 1 -1 4 0 0 0 0
WSH Alex Ovechkin (L) 0.22 0 0 0 18 20:24 2 -2 2 0 0 0 0
FLA A.J. Greer (L) 0.17 0 0 0 16 10:38 2 0 2 0 0 0 0
WSH Brandon Duhaime (R) 0.13 0 0 0 10 06:34 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Evan Rodrigues (C) 0.13 0 0 0 22 15:50 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Anthony Beauvillier (L) 0.13 0 0 0 20 14:17 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
WSH Connor McMichael (C) 0.10 0 0 0 22 16:28 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Eetu Luostarinen (C) 0.03 0 1 1 21 16:21 0 +2 2 0 0 0 0
WSH Hendrix Lapierre (C) 0.02 0 0 0 10 06:09 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Jack Studnicka (C) 0.01 0 0 0 7 04:53 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Justin Sourdif (R) 0.00 0 0 0 19 14:39 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Ethen Frank (C) 0.00 0 0 0 15 08:53 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
FLA Luke Kunin (C) 0.00 0 0 0 8 05:58 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
WSH Jakob Chychrun (D) 0.44 0 1 1 24 26:59 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Aaron Ekblad (D) 0.19 1 1 2 28 22:01 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Seth Jones (D) 0.16 0 2 2 25 22:19 1 -1 4 0 0 0 0
WSH Rasmus Sandin (D) 0.08 0 0 0 17 15:56 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Martin Fehérváry (D) 0.06 0 1 1 20 17:05 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Uvis Balinskis (D) 0.06 0 0 0 19 13:54 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Gustav Forsling (D) 0.02 0 0 0 27 19:03 1 +2 4 0 0 0 0
WSH John Carlson (D) 0.00 0 0 0 21 22:43 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Trevor van Riemsdyk (D) 0.00 0 0 0 18 14:35 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Matt Roy (D) 0.00 0 0 0 21 17:38 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Niko Mikkola (D) 0.00 0 0 0 23 19:15 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Jeff Petry (D) 0.00 0 1 1 19 14:16 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
FLA Sergei Bobrovsky (G) +1.99% 0.889 0.5 3 24 59:57 27 W 0
WSH Logan Thompson (G) -0.76% 0.857 -0.2 4 24 58:45 28 L 0