ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Saturday, January 3, 2026
3:00 PM ET
Nationwide Arena (MSG-B)
BUF
Buffalo Sabres
1 – 5
Final
Columbus Blue Jackets
 CBJ
59% xGF%
41% xGF%
BUF was expected to score 4.59 goals CBJ was expected to score 3.13 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 5 Cumulative xG BUF CBJ Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Buffalo Sabres Columbus Blue Jackets
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play — 1.59 0 — 0.36 0
Even Strength — 2.63 1 — 2.40 3
Penalty Kill — 0.37 0 — 0.37 1
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 42:48 1.84 1
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 11:34 0.82 1
Tied 5:38 0.77 0 5:38 0.48 2
Down 1 11:34 1.01 1 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 42:48 2.82 0 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Denton Mateychuk scores at 3:00 in the 1st period 0.01 xG (0-1)
  • ► Josh Doan scores at 11:26 in the 1st period 0.21 xG (1-1)
  • ► Brendan Gaunce scores at 14:04 in the 1st period 0.09 xG (1-2)
  • ► Dmitri Voronkov scores at 17:12 in the 1st period 0.17 xG (1-3)
  • ► Mathieu Olivier scores at 8:04 in the 2nd period 0.09 xG (1-4)
  • ► Cole Sillinger scores at 11:46 in the 3rd period (1-5)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
CBJ CBJ xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.76 0 0 0 23 19:49 5 -2 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Charlie Coyle (C) 0.62 0 0 0 19 14:49 4 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Norris (C) 0.53 0 1 1 23 17:38 2 -2 2 0 0 0 0
CBJ Dmitri Voronkov (L) 0.51 1 0 1 12 09:11 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.49 1 0 1 24 21:30 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.49 0 0 0 20 16:39 3 -1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.42 0 0 0 24 22:42 4 -3 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.36 0 0 0 20 15:53 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Adam Fantilli (C) 0.33 0 0 0 17 16:40 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Kirill Marchenko (R) 0.24 0 0 0 16 16:28 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Brendan Gaunce (C) 0.22 1 0 1 17 16:14 1 +3 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.22 0 0 0 22 16:59 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Dunne (C) 0.18 0 0 0 10 08:15 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Mathieu Olivier (R) 0.16 1 0 1 18 15:08 1 +1 4 0 0 0 0
CBJ Mason Marchment (L) 0.14 0 0 0 17 15:45 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Kent Johnson (C) 0.12 0 0 0 13 10:51 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.09 0 0 0 18 12:36 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Cole Sillinger (C) 0.08 1 0 1 15 12:12 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Boone Jenner (C) 0.06 0 1 1 21 17:44 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.01 0 0 0 11 07:53 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.01 0 0 0 17 14:28 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Danton Heinen (L) 0.00 0 0 0 14 08:51 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jordan Greenway (L) 0.00 0 0 0 11 08:36 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Zachary Aston-Reese (L) 0.00 0 1 1 15 12:48 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.59 0 0 0 26 24:33 3 -2 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Zach Werenski (D) 0.28 0 2 2 21 23:12 5 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Ivan Provorov (D) 0.19 0 1 1 25 25:32 3 +3 4 0 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.16 0 0 0 25 20:59 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.14 0 0 0 26 25:30 1 -3 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Damon Severson (D) 0.13 0 2 2 21 16:55 3 +2 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.12 0 1 1 24 21:41 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jacob Bryson (D) 0.02 0 0 0 14 09:59 1 -1 2 0 0 0 0
CBJ Dante Fabbro (D) 0.02 0 0 0 21 18:03 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
CBJ Denton Mateychuk (D) 0.01 1 1 2 25 24:15 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
CBJ Jake Christiansen (D) 0.01 0 0 0 14 11:22 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Metsa (D) 0.00 0 0 0 12 09:46 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
CBJ Jet Greaves (G) +10.89% 0.970 3.6 1 32 60:00 33 W 0
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) -2.55% 0.882 -0.9 4 30 58:34 34 L 0