ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Saturday, January 3, 2026
7:00 PM ET
UBS Arena (NHLN)
TOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
3 – 4
Final/OT
New York Islanders
 NYI
48% xGF%
52% xGF%
TOR was expected to score 2.70 goals NYI was expected to score 2.87 goals
P1 P2 P3 OT 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG TOR NYI Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Toronto Maple Leafs New York Islanders
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play — 0.22 0 — 0.24 0
Even Strength — 2.48 3 — 2.63 4
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 1 18:54 0.21 0 8:20 0.40 0
Tied 36:57 1.77 2 36:57 1.02 2
Down 1 8:20 0.72 1 18:54 1.45 2
  • ► Adam Pelech scores at 1:10 in the 2nd period 0.02 xG (0-1)
  • ► Auston Matthews scores at 9:30 in the 2nd period 0.27 xG (1-1)
  • ► Auston Matthews scores at 17:19 in the 2nd period 0.11 xG (2-1)
  • ► Matthew Schaefer scores at 11:10 in the 3rd period 0.30 xG (2-2)
  • ► Nicholas Robertson scores at 12:12 in the 3rd period 0.11 xG (3-2)
  • ► Emil Heineman scores at 17:15 in the 3rd period 0.06 xG (3-3)
  • ► Matthew Schaefer scores at 4:11 in the OT period 0.14 xG (3-4)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
NYI NYI xWin%
—
Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 0.64 2 0 2 26 22:29 6 0 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Simon Holmstrom (R) 0.41 0 0 0 24 18:45 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.40 0 0 0 24 17:04 1 -2 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicholas Robertson (L) 0.37 1 0 1 17 12:02 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Emil Heineman (L) 0.33 1 1 2 28 20:11 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Jean-Gabriel Pageau (C) 0.30 0 1 1 23 18:30 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Matias Maccelli (L) 0.28 0 0 0 23 16:55 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Mathew Barzal (C) 0.24 0 2 2 27 22:49 2 +1 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Scott Laughton (C) 0.22 0 0 0 23 14:20 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Matthew Knies (L) 0.19 0 0 0 23 19:03 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Bobby McMann (C) 0.16 0 1 1 26 20:17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Easton Cowan (R) 0.14 0 0 0 17 11:58 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Calum Ritchie (C) 0.13 0 0 0 12 09:10 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Max Shabanov (R) 0.11 0 0 0 18 15:04 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Anders Lee (L) 0.11 0 0 0 23 15:34 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicolas Roy (C) 0.09 0 1 1 18 11:42 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Kyle MacLean (C) 0.07 0 0 0 15 10:15 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Jonathan Drouin (L) 0.05 0 2 2 22 18:56 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Steven Lorentz (C) 0.04 0 0 0 20 12:05 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Marc Gatcomb (C) 0.02 0 0 0 18 13:16 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Maxim Tsyplakov (R) 0.00 0 0 0 12 10:10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Max Domi (C) 0.00 0 1 1 28 17:21 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
NYI Casey Cizikas (C) 0.00 0 0 0 19 13:12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Calle Jarnkrok (C) 0.00 0 0 0 18 10:42 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
NYI Matthew Schaefer (D) 0.44 2 0 2 30 22:11 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Tony DeAngelo (D) 0.24 0 1 1 27 22:42 2 +3 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Adam Pelech (D) 0.18 1 0 1 30 24:04 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Scott Mayfield (D) 0.17 0 0 0 23 19:09 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Troy Stecher (D) 0.06 0 0 0 34 22:07 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.06 0 0 0 37 27:31 1 -4 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Ryan Pulock (D) 0.05 0 0 0 30 19:45 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.05 0 0 0 29 18:07 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Simon Benoit (D) 0.01 0 0 0 28 15:44 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.00 0 0 0 38 26:40 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Matt Benning (D) 0.00 0 0 0 21 12:26 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NYI Cole McWard (D) 0.00 0 0 0 16 14:50 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
NYI David Rittich (G) -1.44% 0.857 -0.3 3 18 64:11 21 W 0
TOR Joseph Woll (G) -4.53% 0.840 -1.1 4 21 64:11 25 O 0