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Thursday, January 8, 2026
9:00 PM ET
Ball Arena (ALT)
OTT
Ottawa Senators
2 – 8
Final
Colorado Avalanche
 COL
44% xGF%
56% xGF%
OTT was expected to score 2.15 goals COL was expected to score 2.78 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 2 Cumulative xG OTT COL Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Ottawa Senators Colorado Avalanche
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 5:47 0.24 0 10:49 1.19 2
Even Strength 43:24 1.65 1 43:24 1.58 6
Penalty Kill 10:49 0.26 1 5:47 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 42:46 2.06 6
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 7:03 0.16 1
Tied 10:11 0.25 0 10:11 0.56 1
Down 1 7:03 0.34 0 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 42:46 1.56 2 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Josh Manson scores at 10:11 in the 1st period 0.03 xG (0-1)
  • ► Nathan MacKinnon scores at 17:14 in the 1st period 0.08 xG (0-2)
  • ► Cale Makar scores at 2:35 in the 2nd period 0.03 xG (0-3)
  • ► Shane Pinto scores at 5:08 in the 2nd period 0.04 xG (1-3)
  • ► Martin Necas scores at 11:46 in the 2nd period 0.10 xG (1-4)
  • ► Brent Burns scores at 12:03 in the 2nd period 0.01 xG (1-5)
  • ► Brock Nelson scores at 14:23 in the 2nd period 0.11 xG (1-6)
  • ► Josh Manson scores at 16:48 in the 2nd period 0.03 xG (1-7)
  • ► Brock Nelson scores at 18:04 in the 2nd period 0.07 xG (1-8)
  • ► Brady Tkachuk scores at 7:03 in the 3rd period 0.20 xG (2-8)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
COL COL xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
OTT Brady Tkachuk (L) 0.50 1 0 1 24 15:04 7 -1 2 0 0 0 0
COL Ross Colton (C) 0.43 0 3 3 21 15:14 4 +3 0 0 0 0 0
COL Nathan MacKinnon (C) 0.41 1 3 4 19 17:14 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
COL Artturi Lehkonen (L) 0.40 0 0 0 21 17:14 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Shane Pinto (C) 0.26 1 0 1 28 18:10 3 -1 4 0 0 0 0
OTT Dylan Cozens (C) 0.26 0 0 0 21 14:02 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
COL Parker Kelly (C) 0.25 0 0 0 23 17:06 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
COL Valeri Nichushkin (R) 0.25 0 0 0 21 15:03 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Fabian Zetterlund (L) 0.25 0 0 0 21 12:46 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Drake Batherson (R) 0.22 0 0 0 21 15:15 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Ridly Greig (C) 0.19 0 0 0 26 16:30 2 0 12 0 0 0 0
COL Brock Nelson (C) 0.18 2 1 3 23 16:09 2 +1 0 1 0 0 0
COL Martin Necas (C) 0.18 1 1 2 19 18:33 2 +2 0 1 0 0 0
OTT Lars Eller (C) 0.12 0 0 0 19 11:10 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
COL Jack Drury (C) 0.10 0 1 1 23 16:16 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
COL Ivan Ivan (C) 0.10 0 0 0 14 09:37 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
COL Gavin Brindley (C) 0.08 0 0 0 16 13:53 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Claude Giroux (R) 0.07 0 1 1 26 17:26 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
OTT David Perron (L) 0.04 0 0 0 22 13:41 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Michael Amadio (R) 0.02 0 0 0 25 13:54 0 -1 2 0 0 0 0
COL Zakhar Bardakov (C) 0.01 0 1 1 16 11:43 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
COL Victor Olofsson (L) 0.00 0 0 0 18 14:03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Tim Stützle (C) 0.00 0 0 0 22 17:07 0 -2 5 0 0 0 0
OTT Nick Cousins (C) 0.00 0 0 0 19 10:44 0 -2 12 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
COL Brent Burns (D) 0.17 1 0 1 27 20:23 5 +2 0 0 0 0 0
COL Josh Manson (D) 0.15 2 2 4 26 19:25 5 +5 7 0 0 0 0
OTT Tyler Kleven (D) 0.06 0 1 1 27 19:01 1 +1 5 0 0 0 0
OTT Thomas Chabot (D) 0.06 0 0 0 27 19:47 2 -3 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Jordan Spence (D) 0.06 0 0 0 27 17:20 4 -2 0 0 0 0 0
COL Sam Malinski (D) 0.05 0 1 1 19 16:19 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
COL Cale Makar (D) 0.03 1 2 3 22 19:50 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Jake Sanderson (D) 0.02 0 1 1 31 20:29 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Nikolas Matinpalo (D) 0.02 0 0 0 28 19:40 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
COL Samuel Girard (D) 0.00 0 0 0 22 18:09 0 +1 9 0 0 0 0
COL Ilya Solovyov (D) 0.00 0 1 1 23 17:49 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Artem Zub (D) 0.00 0 0 0 27 18:30 0 -3 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
COL Scott Wedgewood (G) +0.48% 0.936 0.1 2 29 60:00 31 W 0
OTT Leevi Meriläinen (G) -8.09% 0.833 -1.5 3 15 42:35 18 L 0
OTT Mads Sogaard (G) -23.53% 0.688 -3.8 5 11 17:25 16 — 0