ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Wednesday, January 14, 2026
7:30 PM ET
KeyBank Center (TNT)
54% xGF%
46% xGF%
PHI was expected to score 2.67 goals BUF was expected to score 2.29 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 Cumulative xG PHI BUF Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Philadelphia Flyers Buffalo Sabres
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 7:35 0.85 1 6:50 0.77 2
Even Strength 45:35 1.82 1 45:35 1.52 2
Penalty Kill 6:50 0.00 0 7:35 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 44:47 1.77 2
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 5:43 0.30 1
Tied 9:30 0.27 0 9:30 0.22 1
Down 1 5:43 0.29 0 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 44:47 2.12 2 0:00 0.00 0
  • Rasmus Dahlin scores at 9:30 in the 1st period 0.09 xG (0-1)
  • Mattias Samuelsson scores at 15:13 in the 1st period 0.10 xG (0-2)
  • Jack Quinn scores at 4:22 in the 2nd period 0.13 xG (0-3)
  • Owen Tippett scores at 10:28 in the 2nd period 0.03 xG (1-3)
  • Rasmus Dahlin scores at 13:51 in the 2nd period 0.10 xG (1-4)
  • Trevor Zegras scores at 7:37 in the 3rd period 0.25 xG (2-4)
  • Ryan McLeod scores at 19:20 in the 3rd period (2-5)
  • Watch the full game recap here
BUF BUF xWin%
Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
PHI Trevor Zegras (C) 0.71 1 0 1 23 23:07 7 -3 2 1 0 0 0
PHI Christian Dvorak (C) 0.47 0 0 0 26 22:43 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.37 1 1 2 23 19:18 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.34 0 2 2 24 20:23 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Owen Tippett (R) 0.32 1 1 2 22 17:37 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.30 1 0 1 18 13:48 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Noah Cates (L) 0.18 0 1 1 23 15:07 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Travis Konecny (R) 0.18 0 1 1 24 22:25 2 -3 4 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.16 0 1 1 25 17:26 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.14 0 0 0 20 17:36 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Matvei Michkov (R) 0.13 0 0 0 20 16:01 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.12 0 2 2 19 15:39 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.12 0 0 0 15 08:54 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Nikita Grebenkin (R) 0.10 0 0 0 20 13:50 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Rodrigo Abols (C) 0.04 0 0 0 14 09:09 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Nicolas Deslauriers (L) 0.03 0 0 0 9 05:03 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Carl Grundstrom (R) 0.01 0 0 0 16 11:41 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.01 0 1 1 25 21:44 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.00 0 1 1 16 11:32 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Sean Couturier (C) 0.00 0 0 0 18 13:39 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tyson Kozak (C) 0.00 0 0 0 17 09:05 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Norris (C) 0.00 0 1 1 12 08:55 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Garnet Hathaway (R) 0.00 0 0 0 16 08:01 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.00 0 0 0 16 11:16 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.32 0 0 0 28 23:47 0 +2 4 0 0 0 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.30 2 0 2 25 23:22 4 -1 0 2 0 0 0
PHI Cam York (D) 0.25 0 0 0 30 21:29 1 -1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.10 1 0 1 24 24:11 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Noah Juulsen (D) 0.08 0 0 0 20 14:38 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Emil Andrae (D) 0.07 0 0 0 25 19:57 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Jamie Drysdale (D) 0.06 0 0 0 26 25:25 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Nick Seeler (D) 0.03 0 0 0 19 14:47 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Metsa (D) 0.01 0 0 0 13 09:31 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Jacob Bryson (D) 0.01 0 0 0 15 12:01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PHI Travis Sanheim (D) 0.00 0 0 0 27 18:51 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.00 0 0 0 24 22:42 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) +3.05% 0.909 0.7 2 20 60:00 22 W 0
PHI Samuel Ersson (G) -7.35% 0.750 -0.6 2 6 37:27 8 L 0
PHI Dan Vladar (G) -18.65% 0.667 -1.1 2 4 19:42 6 0