ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Saturday, January 17, 2026
7:00 PM ET
Canada Life Centre (NHLN)
TOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
4 – 3
Final/OT
Winnipeg Jets
 WPG
50% xGF%
50% xGF%
TOR was expected to score 3.94 goals WPG was expected to score 4.01 goals
P1 P2 P3 OT 0 1 2 3 4 Cumulative xG TOR WPG Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Toronto Maple Leafs Winnipeg Jets
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 4:00 0.12 0 6:00 1.09 0
Even Strength 53:08 3.25 4 53:08 2.47 3
Penalty Kill 6:00 0.57 0 4:00 0.45 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 3:53 0.20 0
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 29:17 1.91 2
Tied 29:58 1.21 1 29:58 1.90 1
Down 1 29:17 2.31 1 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 3:53 0.41 2 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Alex Iafallo scores at 2:23 in the 2nd period 0.13 xG (0-1)
  • ► Kyle Connor scores at 8:59 in the 2nd period 0.10 xG (0-2)
  • ► Auston Matthews scores at 9:22 in the 2nd period 0.12 xG (1-2)
  • ► Nino Niederreiter scores at 2:28 in the 3rd period 0.08 xG (1-3)
  • ► Oliver Ekman-Larsson scores at 5:58 in the 3rd period 0.05 xG (2-3)
  • ► Bobby McMann scores at 15:33 in the 3rd period 0.13 xG (3-3)
  • ► Max Domi scores at 3:08 in the OT period 0.16 xG (4-3)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TOR TOR xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 1.00 1 1 2 27 21:38 5 +2 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Adam Lowry (C) 0.75 0 0 0 23 14:29 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Max Domi (C) 0.63 1 1 2 25 19:14 5 +3 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Jonathan Toews (C) 0.54 0 0 0 23 17:35 3 0 2 0 0 0 0
WPG Alex Iafallo (L) 0.54 1 0 1 21 17:36 4 +1 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Steven Lorentz (C) 0.53 0 0 0 19 11:18 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Mark Scheifele (C) 0.43 0 0 0 23 22:27 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Kyle Connor (L) 0.37 1 0 1 23 21:44 5 0 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Nino Niederreiter (R) 0.29 1 0 1 19 14:32 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicolas Roy (C) 0.28 0 0 0 17 13:21 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Vladislav Namestnikov (C) 0.25 0 2 2 19 13:33 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Bobby McMann (C) 0.25 1 0 1 21 16:51 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Gabriel Vilardi (C) 0.23 0 1 1 20 20:49 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.22 0 0 0 21 19:40 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Easton Cowan (R) 0.20 0 1 1 14 10:53 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Cole Perfetti (C) 0.16 0 0 0 20 17:06 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Morgan Barron (C) 0.16 0 0 0 19 10:59 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Matias Maccelli (L) 0.15 0 0 0 19 16:09 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Tanner Pearson (L) 0.12 0 0 0 16 08:55 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicholas Robertson (L) 0.11 0 1 1 16 12:27 2 0 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Matthew Knies (L) 0.09 0 0 0 20 18:58 1 -2 2 0 0 0 0
WPG Cole Koepke (L) 0.04 0 0 0 15 08:02 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Calle Jarnkrok (C) 0.01 0 0 0 18 10:29 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Scott Laughton (C) 0.00 0 0 0 24 13:11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TOR Brandon Carlo (D) 0.17 0 0 0 32 18:39 4 0 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.11 0 0 0 41 25:30 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Troy Stecher (D) 0.10 0 0 0 35 21:43 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Logan Stanley (D) 0.06 0 1 1 21 17:37 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.05 1 2 3 38 25:10 1 +4 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Josh Morrissey (D) 0.05 0 0 0 32 25:57 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Elias Salomonsson (D) 0.02 0 0 0 24 17:16 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.02 0 2 2 29 18:55 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Philippe Myers (D) 0.02 0 0 0 13 09:18 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Dylan Samberg (D) 0.00 0 0 0 29 21:35 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Luke Schenn (D) 0.00 0 1 1 20 13:27 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Dylan DeMelo (D) 0.00 0 0 0 30 21:45 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TOR Dennis Hildeby (G) +3.36% 0.900 1.0 3 27 63:08 30 W 0
WPG Connor Hellebuyck (G) -0.17% 0.892 -0.1 4 33 63:08 37 O 0