ONGOING MAINTENANCE: 2020-2021 data may be incomplete as backfill is in progress. Expected completion: July 23.
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Saturday, January 31, 2026
5:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena (FDSNSO)
CAR
Carolina Hurricanes
3 – 4
Final/OT
Washington Capitals
 WSH
30% xGF%
70% xGF%
CAR was expected to score 2.21 goals WSH was expected to score 5.08 goals
P1 P2 P3 OT 0 1 2 3 4 5 Cumulative xG CAR WSH Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Carolina Hurricanes Washington Capitals
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 2:00 0.24 0 7:04 0.85 0
Even Strength 52:38 1.96 3 52:38 4.23 4
Penalty Kill 7:04 0.01 0 2:00 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 17:07 0.63 1 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 22:44 0.90 1 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 21:51 0.68 1 21:51 2.34 1
Down 1 0:00 0.00 0 22:44 1.28 1
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 17:07 1.46 2
  • ► Mark Jankowski scores at 13:27 in the 1st period 0.14 xG (1-0)
  • ► Sebastian Aho scores at 17:51 in the 1st period 0.11 xG (2-0)
  • ► Shayne Gostisbehere scores at 4:16 in the 2nd period 0.01 xG (3-0)
  • ► Hendrix Lapierre scores at 7:52 in the 2nd period 0.09 xG (3-1)
  • ► Dylan Strome scores at 14:58 in the 2nd period 0.31 xG (3-2)
  • ► Jakob Chychrun scores at 13:18 in the 3rd period 0.07 xG (3-3)
  • ► Justin Sourdif scores at 1:42 in the OT period 0.23 xG (3-4)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
WSH WSH xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
WSH Justin Sourdif (R) 0.85 1 0 1 24 18:40 5 +1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Aliaksei Protas (C) 0.69 0 2 2 25 19:15 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Dylan Strome (C) 0.56 1 0 1 25 21:48 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Hendrix Lapierre (C) 0.49 1 0 1 11 06:13 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Ryan Leonard (R) 0.45 0 0 0 22 16:41 1 -1 2 0 0 0 0
WSH Alex Ovechkin (L) 0.44 0 0 0 21 18:25 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Anthony Beauvillier (L) 0.37 0 0 0 20 16:18 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Andrei Svechnikov (R) 0.29 0 0 0 20 15:16 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Mark Jankowski (L) 0.28 1 0 1 17 12:42 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Seth Jarvis (C) 0.27 0 0 0 22 18:48 4 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Taylor Hall (L) 0.20 0 0 0 20 13:41 0 -2 6 0 0 0 0
CAR Sebastian Aho (C) 0.17 1 0 1 23 19:25 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jesperi Kotkaniemi (C) 0.16 0 1 1 16 12:26 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Nic Dowd (C) 0.15 0 0 0 21 14:13 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Logan Stankoven (C) 0.13 0 0 0 17 13:37 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Tom Wilson (R) 0.10 0 1 1 28 21:24 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Nikolaj Ehlers (L) 0.08 0 0 0 18 14:58 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Ethen Frank (C) 0.07 0 1 1 23 15:47 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Brandon Duhaime (R) 0.05 0 0 0 14 08:59 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Sonny Milano (L) 0.04 0 1 1 12 08:29 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jackson Blake (R) 0.04 0 0 0 18 13:54 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
CAR William Carrier (L) 0.01 0 1 1 15 11:04 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jordan Staal (C) 0.00 0 1 1 22 15:19 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jordan Martinook (L) 0.00 0 1 1 22 16:00 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
WSH Jakob Chychrun (D) 0.51 1 1 2 29 28:02 6 +1 2 0 0 0 0
CAR Shayne Gostisbehere (D) 0.23 1 0 1 17 15:59 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Rasmus Sandin (D) 0.14 0 0 0 25 20:50 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR K'Andre Miller (D) 0.11 0 0 0 27 22:43 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Sean Walker (D) 0.10 0 0 0 25 22:10 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
WSH Declan Chisholm (D) 0.07 0 0 0 14 10:04 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jaccob Slavin (D) 0.07 0 0 0 27 22:41 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Dylan McIlrath (D) 0.05 0 0 0 13 09:15 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Alexander Nikishin (D) 0.04 0 0 0 16 13:14 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jalen Chatfield (D) 0.04 0 0 0 26 23:09 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
WSH John Carlson (D) 0.03 0 1 1 27 27:57 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
WSH Trevor van Riemsdyk (D) 0.01 0 0 0 24 18:46 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
CAR Frederik Andersen (G) +2.59% 0.905 1.1 4 38 61:42 42 O 0
WSH Clay Stevenson (G) -3.59% 0.864 -0.8 3 19 61:42 22 W 0