ONGOING MAINTENANCE: 2020-2021 data may be incomplete as backfill is in progress. Expected completion: July 23.
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Tuesday, February 3, 2026
7:30 PM ET
Benchmark International Arena (ESPN+)
BUF
Buffalo Sabres
3 – 4
Final/OT
Tampa Bay Lightning
 TBL
46% xGF%
54% xGF%
BUF was expected to score 2.65 goals TBL was expected to score 3.15 goals
P1 P2 P3 OT 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG BUF TBL Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Buffalo Sabres Tampa Bay Lightning
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 6:19 0.97 1 4:32 0.60 2
Even Strength 53:54 1.67 2 53:54 2.53 2
Penalty Kill 4:32 0.00 0 6:19 0.02 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 1 9:26 0.20 0 6:29 0.13 0
Tied 48:50 1.92 2 48:50 2.24 2
Down 1 6:29 0.53 1 9:26 0.78 2
  • ► Nikita Kucherov scores at 10:24 in the 1st period 0.07 xG (0-1)
  • ► Mattias Samuelsson scores at 16:53 in the 1st period 0.02 xG (1-1)
  • ► Mattias Samuelsson scores at 4:08 in the 3rd period 0.04 xG (2-1)
  • ► Oliver Bjorkstrand scores at 8:53 in the 3rd period 0.09 xG (2-2)
  • ► Josh Doan scores at 14:53 in the 3rd period 0.18 xG (3-2)
  • ► Darren Raddysh scores at 19:34 in the 3rd period 0.05 xG (3-3)
  • ► Jake Guentzel scores at 4:45 in the OT period 0.16 xG (3-4)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TBL TBL xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.64 1 3 4 23 22:24 7 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.57 0 0 0 23 17:47 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.56 0 1 1 25 22:09 5 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.32 1 0 1 19 16:29 1 0 0 1 0 0 0
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.26 0 1 1 24 25:40 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Dominic James (C) 0.23 0 0 0 16 13:02 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.23 1 1 2 25 26:07 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.22 1 0 1 18 15:04 2 +1 0 1 0 0 0
TBL Yanni Gourde (C) 0.22 0 0 0 23 20:01 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.21 0 1 1 27 19:31 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.21 0 0 0 22 17:07 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.17 0 0 0 29 22:38 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Curtis Douglas (C) 0.16 0 0 0 8 05:45 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Jack Finley (C) 0.14 0 0 0 12 07:43 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.12 0 0 0 21 16:31 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Scott Sabourin (R) 0.09 0 0 0 8 06:03 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.07 0 0 0 18 13:52 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.05 0 1 1 23 17:50 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Konsta Helenius (C) 0.02 0 0 0 18 13:47 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.00 0 0 0 14 09:08 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Isak Rosen (R) 0.00 0 0 0 13 08:17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tyson Kozak (C) 0.00 0 0 0 17 12:25 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.00 0 0 0 21 14:36 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.00 0 0 0 20 17:10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.44 0 1 1 34 27:47 7 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Darren Raddysh (D) 0.39 1 1 2 23 25:48 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.15 0 0 0 27 21:51 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.10 2 0 2 29 24:01 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.07 0 1 1 25 23:51 2 -1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.05 0 0 0 29 23:37 0 -1 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Declan Carlile (D) 0.05 0 0 0 20 15:08 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.03 0 0 0 23 18:04 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.02 0 0 0 25 19:40 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.01 0 0 0 24 17:39 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jacob Bryson (D) 0.00 0 0 0 15 11:01 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Metsa (D) 0.00 0 0 0 13 11:12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) -1.35% 0.885 -0.4 3 23 63:33 26 W 0
BUF Colten Ellis (G) -2.43% 0.886 -0.8 4 31 64:24 35 O 0