ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Thursday, February 26, 2026
7:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena (SCRIPPS)
TOR
Toronto Maple Leafs
1 – 5
Final
Florida Panthers
 FLA
41% xGF%
59% xGF%
TOR was expected to score 2.72 goals FLA was expected to score 3.86 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 Cumulative xG TOR FLA Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Toronto Maple Leafs Florida Panthers
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 6:51 0.86 1 5:36 0.77 1
Even Strength 47:33 1.86 0 47:33 2.85 1
Penalty Kill 5:36 0.00 0 6:51 0.25 1
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 54:47 3.22 1
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 1:55 0.25 1
Tied 3:18 0.00 0 3:18 0.39 1
Down 1 1:55 0.00 0 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 54:47 2.72 1 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Brad Marchand scores at 3:18 in the 1st period 0.14 xG (0-1)
  • ► Carter Verhaeghe scores at 5:13 in the 1st period 0.13 xG (0-2)
  • ► Evan Rodrigues scores at 16:40 in the 1st period 0.21 xG (0-3)
  • ► John Tavares scores at 0:47 in the 3rd period 0.15 xG (1-3)
  • ► Brad Marchand scores at 16:51 in the 3rd period (1-4)
  • ► Matthew Tkachuk scores at 18:08 in the 3rd period (1-5)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
FLA FLA xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
FLA Evan Rodrigues (C) 1.03 1 1 2 27 16:52 9 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Matthew Knies (L) 0.59 0 0 0 24 17:17 4 -4 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Matthew Tkachuk (L) 0.53 1 0 1 21 18:26 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.44 1 0 1 22 18:38 3 -3 0 1 0 0 0
FLA Carter Verhaeghe (C) 0.37 1 0 1 21 14:03 3 0 0 1 0 0 0
TOR Matias Maccelli (L) 0.35 0 0 0 20 15:09 3 -1 2 0 0 0 0
FLA Eetu Luostarinen (C) 0.32 0 0 0 22 16:04 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Brad Marchand (L) 0.30 2 0 2 18 14:10 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Sam Bennett (C) 0.26 0 1 1 22 18:41 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Sam Reinhart (C) 0.26 0 1 1 23 18:01 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR William Nylander (R) 0.24 0 0 0 22 18:11 1 -3 0 0 0 0 0
FLA A.J. Greer (L) 0.23 0 0 0 16 12:05 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicholas Robertson (L) 0.22 0 0 0 16 12:01 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicolas Roy (C) 0.21 0 0 0 19 15:01 2 0 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 0.17 0 1 1 25 18:34 2 -4 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Mackie Samoskevich (R) 0.17 0 0 0 19 14:12 3 0 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Steven Lorentz (C) 0.12 0 0 0 19 13:45 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Anton Lundell (C) 0.05 0 2 2 24 16:18 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Scott Laughton (C) 0.04 0 0 0 21 14:25 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Dakota Joshua (C) 0.03 0 0 0 16 11:01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Max Domi (C) 0.03 0 0 0 18 13:54 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Bobby McMann (C) 0.02 0 0 0 17 14:05 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Sandis Vilmanis (L) 0.00 0 0 0 14 11:13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Cole Schwindt (C) 0.00 0 0 0 11 07:23 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
FLA Jeff Petry (D) 0.23 0 0 0 23 17:48 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.08 0 0 0 30 19:11 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Simon Benoit (D) 0.07 0 0 0 23 14:18 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.05 0 0 0 30 20:44 3 -1 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Troy Stecher (D) 0.05 0 0 0 29 21:14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Gustav Forsling (D) 0.04 0 0 0 26 22:56 2 +3 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Donovan Sebrango (D) 0.03 0 0 0 18 15:25 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.02 0 1 1 29 20:56 1 -3 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Uvis Balinskis (D) 0.02 0 0 0 21 20:13 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Aaron Ekblad (D) 0.01 0 0 0 25 19:06 1 +1 6 0 0 0 0
FLA Niko Mikkola (D) 0.00 0 0 0 26 21:06 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Brandon Carlo (D) 0.00 0 0 0 27 16:53 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
FLA Sergei Bobrovsky (G) +5.93% 0.966 1.7 1 28 60:00 29 W 0
TOR Joseph Woll (G) +2.40% 0.914 0.8 3 32 59:07 35 L 0