ONGOING MAINTENANCE: 2020-2021 data may be incomplete as backfill is in progress. Expected completion: July 23.
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Thursday, February 26, 2026
7:00 PM ET
Lenovo Center (FDSNSO)
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
4 – 5
Final
Carolina Hurricanes
 CAR
57% xGF%
43% xGF%
TBL was expected to score 3.10 goals CAR was expected to score 2.32 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 2 Cumulative xG TBL CAR Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Tampa Bay Lightning Carolina Hurricanes
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 5:03 0.90 1 2:34 0.39 1
Even Strength 52:23 2.16 3 52:23 1.93 4
Penalty Kill 2:34 0.04 0 5:03 0.01 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 14:09 0.96 1
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 25:30 0.57 1
Tied 20:21 0.82 0 20:21 0.79 3
Down 1 25:30 1.51 2 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 14:09 0.77 2 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Nikolaj Ehlers scores at 1:43 in the 1st period 0.05 xG (0-1)
  • ► Logan Stankoven scores at 2:56 in the 1st period 0.16 xG (0-2)
  • ► Taylor Hall scores at 6:41 in the 1st period 0.10 xG (0-3)
  • ► Brandon Hagel scores at 16:30 in the 1st period 0.07 xG (1-3)
  • ► Nikita Kucherov scores at 17:05 in the 1st period 0.09 xG (2-3)
  • ► Dominic James scores at 1:58 in the 2nd period 0.12 xG (3-3)
  • ► Seth Jarvis scores at 7:21 in the 2nd period 0.13 xG (3-4)
  • ► Brayden Point scores at 14:02 in the 2nd period 0.13 xG (4-4)
  • ► Sebastian Aho scores at 7:17 in the 3rd period 0.03 xG (4-5)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
CAR CAR xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.64 0 3 3 23 22:03 4 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Dominic James (C) 0.55 1 0 1 18 16:55 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.44 1 1 2 25 22:06 2 0 0 1 0 0 0
CAR Sebastian Aho (C) 0.31 1 0 1 23 19:43 3 0 2 1 0 0 0
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.30 0 0 0 19 14:01 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Logan Stankoven (C) 0.28 1 1 2 19 16:02 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Seth Jarvis (C) 0.28 1 1 2 24 18:21 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.27 1 0 1 27 25:07 2 0 2 0 0 0 0
CAR Eric Robinson (L) 0.21 0 0 0 13 09:20 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR William Carrier (L) 0.21 0 0 0 15 09:50 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Taylor Hall (L) 0.20 1 1 2 20 16:01 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Nikolaj Ehlers (L) 0.19 1 0 1 19 14:58 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.18 1 0 1 22 20:42 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Yanni Gourde (C) 0.16 0 0 0 20 16:04 3 -2 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Andrei Svechnikov (R) 0.16 0 2 2 23 18:36 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Mark Jankowski (L) 0.14 0 0 0 13 09:45 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.14 0 0 0 17 13:01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jordan Staal (C) 0.09 0 0 0 23 15:19 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jackson Blake (R) 0.03 0 1 1 21 17:48 1 +1 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.02 0 0 0 22 14:55 2 0 2 0 0 0 0
CAR Jordan Martinook (L) 0.00 0 1 1 21 14:31 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.00 0 0 0 20 14:53 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Scott Sabourin (R) 0.00 0 1 1 8 05:00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
CAR Alexander Nikishin (D) 0.15 0 0 0 19 16:13 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Darren Raddysh (D) 0.13 0 1 1 26 26:01 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.13 0 1 1 21 15:43 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.07 0 0 0 21 15:26 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Shayne Gostisbehere (D) 0.04 0 0 0 19 18:45 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.03 0 1 1 25 19:42 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR K'Andre Miller (D) 0.02 0 1 1 26 20:42 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Declan Carlile (D) 0.02 0 0 0 17 11:04 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jaccob Slavin (D) 0.02 0 0 0 25 23:31 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.00 0 0 0 18 14:21 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.00 0 0 0 15 13:19 0 -3 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jalen Chatfield (D) 0.00 0 1 1 25 20:17 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Sean Walker (D) 0.00 0 0 0 25 18:12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
CAR Brandon Bussi (G) -3.22% 0.857 -0.9 4 24 60:00 28 W 0
TBL Jonas Johansson (G) -8.12% 0.849 -2.7 5 28 57:03 33 L 0