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Friday, February 27, 2026
7:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena (MSG-B)
BUF
Buffalo Sabres
3 – 2
Final
Florida Panthers
 FLA
43% xGF%
57% xGF%
BUF was expected to score 2.84 goals FLA was expected to score 3.74 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 Cumulative xG BUF FLA Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Buffalo Sabres Florida Panthers
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 5:55 0.53 1 8:01 1.90 2
Even Strength 46:04 2.31 1 46:04 1.72 0
Penalty Kill 8:01 0.00 0 5:55 0.12 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 1 23:43 1.04 0 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 35:35 1.79 2 35:35 2.03 0
Down 1 0:00 0.00 0 23:43 1.42 1
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 0:42 0.29 1
  • ► Alex Tuch scores at 17:48 in the 1st period 0.12 xG (1-0)
  • ► Matthew Tkachuk scores at 13:51 in the 2nd period 0.25 xG (1-1)
  • ► Beck Malenstyn scores at 11:38 in the 3rd period 0.02 xG (2-1)
  • ► Peyton Krebs scores at 18:43 in the 3rd period (3-1)
  • ► Sam Bennett scores at 19:25 in the 3rd period 0.06 xG (3-2)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
BUF BUF xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
FLA Matthew Tkachuk (L) 0.83 1 0 1 22 21:34 5 0 0 1 0 0 0
FLA Brad Marchand (L) 0.66 0 1 1 22 16:10 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.40 1 1 2 27 19:23 6 +1 0 1 0 0 0
BUF Jason Zucker (L) 0.34 0 0 0 18 15:52 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Luke Kunin (C) 0.34 0 0 0 10 06:43 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA A.J. Greer (L) 0.31 0 0 0 12 08:21 2 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.30 0 0 0 22 16:23 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Sam Reinhart (C) 0.28 0 0 0 26 22:24 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Norris (C) 0.24 0 1 1 22 17:46 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Sandis Vilmanis (L) 0.24 0 0 0 12 07:52 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Sam Bennett (C) 0.23 1 1 2 21 21:19 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.20 0 1 1 24 19:39 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.18 0 1 1 23 14:23 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Eetu Luostarinen (C) 0.16 0 0 0 22 15:09 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.15 0 0 0 19 14:35 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.12 1 0 1 18 10:57 3 +1 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.12 0 1 1 22 15:58 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Tyson Kozak (C) 0.11 0 0 0 16 10:45 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Dunne (C) 0.09 0 0 0 14 08:54 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
FLA Carter Verhaeghe (C) 0.08 0 0 0 22 17:21 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Evan Rodrigues (C) 0.07 0 0 0 24 17:36 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Mackie Samoskevich (R) 0.06 0 0 0 17 12:49 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.03 1 0 1 21 14:37 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Anton Lundell (C) 0.02 0 0 0 24 16:43 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.17 0 0 0 31 23:42 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Gustav Forsling (D) 0.16 0 0 0 32 23:51 3 0 2 0 0 0 0
FLA Aaron Ekblad (D) 0.14 0 0 0 31 27:18 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.14 0 0 0 30 25:04 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Uvis Balinskis (D) 0.13 0 0 0 12 08:38 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Michael Kesselring (D) 0.09 0 0 0 18 12:19 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.07 0 0 0 28 23:46 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Metsa (D) 0.06 0 0 0 9 06:13 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.03 0 1 1 31 23:42 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Niko Mikkola (D) 0.01 0 0 0 29 25:29 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Jeff Petry (D) 0.01 0 0 0 22 16:24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
FLA Donovan Sebrango (D) 0.01 0 0 0 16 10:23 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
BUF Alex Lyon (G) +9.45% 0.966 1.7 2 28 60:00 29 W 0
FLA Daniil Tarasov (G) +2.21% 0.947 0.8 2 36 58:05 38 L 0