ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Thursday, March 5, 2026
8:00 PM ET
Canada Life Centre (The Spot)
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
1 – 4
Final
Winnipeg Jets
 WPG
49% xGF%
51% xGF%
TBL was expected to score 3.03 goals WPG was expected to score 3.20 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG TBL WPG Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Tampa Bay Lightning Winnipeg Jets
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 3:13 1.07 1 4:13 0.74 0
Even Strength 52:34 1.72 0 52:34 2.46 3
Penalty Kill 4:13 0.24 0 3:13 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 16:36 0.54 0
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 7:53 0.35 2
Tied 35:31 1.49 0 35:31 2.30 1
Down 1 7:53 0.27 0 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 16:36 1.27 1 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Morgan Barron scores at 15:31 in the 2nd period 0.07 xG (0-1)
  • ► Mark Scheifele scores at 19:42 in the 2nd period 0.08 xG (0-2)
  • ► Brayden Point scores at 1:52 in the 3rd period 0.16 xG (1-2)
  • ► Gustav Nyquist scores at 5:34 in the 3rd period 0.13 xG (1-3)
  • ► Kyle Connor scores at 17:59 in the 3rd period (1-4)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
WPG WPG xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.83 0 1 1 23 21:45 5 -2 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Mark Scheifele (C) 0.53 1 1 2 21 21:07 4 +2 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Alex Iafallo (L) 0.46 0 2 2 21 17:43 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.41 1 0 1 24 18:25 3 -3 0 1 0 0 0
WPG Cole Koepke (L) 0.39 0 1 1 15 09:54 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Kyle Connor (L) 0.39 1 1 2 22 22:17 4 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.34 0 0 0 17 15:25 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.28 0 0 0 21 14:42 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.25 0 0 0 18 14:18 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Walker Duehr (R) 0.25 0 0 0 18 10:23 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.23 0 0 0 23 17:13 1 -2 2 0 0 0 0
WPG Gabriel Vilardi (C) 0.21 0 0 0 18 16:29 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.19 0 0 0 21 18:17 1 -3 2 0 0 0 0
WPG Morgan Barron (C) 0.19 1 0 1 16 11:49 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Yanni Gourde (C) 0.15 0 0 0 22 18:59 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Tanner Pearson (L) 0.14 0 2 2 17 13:30 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Gustav Nyquist (R) 0.13 1 0 1 19 13:39 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Cole Perfetti (C) 0.10 0 0 0 18 15:08 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Adam Lowry (C) 0.07 0 0 0 21 15:01 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Jonathan Toews (C) 0.05 0 1 1 19 14:50 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.04 0 0 0 23 20:41 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Scott Sabourin (R) 0.03 0 0 0 12 09:03 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Conor Geekie (C) 0.00 0 0 0 13 10:28 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
WPG Ville Heinola (D) 0.10 0 0 0 19 13:51 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Dylan DeMelo (D) 0.08 0 0 0 26 22:54 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.07 0 0 0 15 16:39 3 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.07 0 0 0 24 17:15 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Haydn Fleury (D) 0.07 0 0 0 30 23:58 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.06 0 0 0 19 14:45 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Darren Raddysh (D) 0.05 0 1 1 23 23:04 1 -3 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Dylan Samberg (D) 0.04 0 0 0 26 23:14 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Declan Carlile (D) 0.03 0 0 0 23 18:22 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.00 0 0 0 18 13:44 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
WPG Elias Salomonsson (D) 0.00 0 0 0 27 20:09 0 +2 2 0 0 0 0
WPG Isaak Phillips (D) 0.00 0 0 0 17 12:10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.00 0 0 0 16 14:01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
WPG Connor Hellebuyck (G) +7.52% 0.963 2.0 1 26 59:47 27 W 0
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) +0.68% 0.897 0.2 3 26 58:54 29 L 0