ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Saturday, March 14, 2026
7:00 PM ET
Benchmark International Arena (FDSNSO)
CAR
Carolina Hurricanes
4 – 2
Final
Tampa Bay Lightning
 TBL
59% xGF%
41% xGF%
CAR was expected to score 3.49 goals TBL was expected to score 2.41 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG CAR TBL Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Carolina Hurricanes Tampa Bay Lightning
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 2:41 0.42 0 5:27 0.50 0
Even Strength 51:52 3.08 3 51:52 1.92 2
Penalty Kill 5:27 0.00 0 2:41 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 18:13 0.58 0 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 27:24 1.60 1 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 14:23 1.31 2 14:23 0.29 0
Down 1 0:00 0.00 0 27:24 1.45 1
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 18:13 0.67 1
  • ► Andrei Svechnikov scores at 0:36 in the 1st period 0.12 xG (1-0)
  • ► Sebastian Aho scores at 17:28 in the 1st period 0.09 xG (2-0)
  • ► Yanni Gourde scores at 14:10 in the 2nd period 0.06 xG (2-1)
  • ► Charle-Edouard D'Astous scores at 15:31 in the 2nd period 0.20 xG (2-2)
  • ► Jordan Martinook scores at 9:18 in the 3rd period 0.01 xG (3-2)
  • ► Logan Stankoven scores at 18:29 in the 3rd period (4-2)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
CAR CAR xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
CAR Jackson Blake (R) 0.64 0 0 0 19 17:56 4 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.55 0 0 0 21 20:00 5 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Taylor Hall (L) 0.52 0 1 1 18 14:17 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.46 0 0 0 23 19:22 3 -1 2 0 0 0 0
CAR Andrei Svechnikov (R) 0.41 1 1 2 24 19:24 6 +1 2 0 0 0 0
CAR William Carrier (L) 0.33 0 0 0 12 09:13 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.25 0 0 0 12 08:20 1 0 5 0 0 0 0
CAR Seth Jarvis (C) 0.24 0 0 0 21 16:14 2 -1 7 0 0 0 0
CAR Jordan Staal (C) 0.23 0 0 0 20 13:35 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Nikolaj Ehlers (L) 0.23 0 1 1 21 14:19 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Yanni Gourde (C) 0.22 1 0 1 20 15:20 3 0 2 0 0 0 0
CAR Sebastian Aho (C) 0.22 1 1 2 25 20:28 2 +1 2 0 0 0 0
CAR Logan Stankoven (C) 0.17 1 0 1 18 14:51 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nick Paul (L) 0.16 0 0 0 15 09:57 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jordan Martinook (L) 0.14 1 0 1 20 13:45 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.14 0 1 1 20 17:35 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Mark Jankowski (L) 0.13 0 0 0 14 09:53 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.10 0 1 1 19 12:03 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.08 0 0 0 20 14:19 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.08 0 0 0 23 18:30 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Corey Perry (R) 0.00 0 0 0 19 13:02 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.00 0 1 1 22 15:40 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.00 0 0 0 19 16:13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Eric Robinson (L) 0.00 0 0 0 14 10:13 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.28 1 0 1 21 18:03 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Sean Walker (D) 0.11 0 1 1 26 20:13 2 +1 2 0 0 0 0
CAR Mike Reilly (D) 0.05 0 1 1 18 12:31 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.04 0 0 0 24 18:11 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.04 0 1 1 24 18:27 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR K'Andre Miller (D) 0.04 0 1 1 28 24:05 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jalen Chatfield (D) 0.04 0 0 0 28 23:10 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Alexander Nikishin (D) 0.03 0 0 0 19 14:03 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.02 0 0 0 26 20:55 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.00 0 0 0 21 16:01 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Darren Raddysh (D) 0.00 0 0 0 24 23:14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CAR Jaccob Slavin (D) 0.00 0 0 0 27 24:16 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
CAR Frederik Andersen (G) +2.18% 0.895 0.4 2 17 59:34 19 W 0
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) +1.46% 0.912 0.5 3 31 58:48 34 L 0