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Saturday, March 21, 2026
10:00 PM ET
Rogers Place (The Spot)
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
5 – 2
Final
Edmonton Oilers
 EDM
56% xGF%
44% xGF%
TBL was expected to score 3.44 goals EDM was expected to score 2.72 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG TBL EDM Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Tampa Bay Lightning Edmonton Oilers
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 4:51 0.48 1 4:18 0.65 0
Even Strength 50:51 2.78 2 50:51 1.99 2
Penalty Kill 4:18 0.18 1 4:51 0.08 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 14:46 0.42 0 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 13:01 1.00 2 2:00 0.00 0
Tied 30:13 1.45 1 30:13 1.11 1
Down 1 2:00 0.56 1 13:01 0.96 0
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 14:46 0.66 1
  • ► Connor McDavid scores at 19:37 in the 1st period 0.12 xG (0-1)
  • ► Anthony Cirelli scores at 1:37 in the 2nd period 0.19 xG (1-1)
  • ► Jake Guentzel scores at 12:13 in the 2nd period 0.16 xG (2-1)
  • ► Nikita Kucherov scores at 16:58 in the 2nd period 0.18 xG (3-1)
  • ► Josh Samanski scores at 7:16 in the 3rd period 0.01 xG (3-2)
  • ► Nikita Kucherov scores at 15:32 in the 3rd period 0.11 xG (4-2)
  • ► Anthony Cirelli scores at 19:28 in the 3rd period (5-2)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TBL TBL xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.64 2 2 4 22 19:53 7 +3 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.60 2 0 2 14 10:28 4 +2 5 0 0 0 0
EDM Connor McDavid (C) 0.60 1 0 1 23 22:42 4 -3 4 0 0 0 0
TBL Pontus Holmberg (R) 0.59 0 0 0 19 11:00 1 0 7 0 0 0 0
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.39 1 0 1 21 19:22 2 -1 0 1 0 0 0
TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.33 0 0 0 11 10:10 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.31 0 2 2 23 20:47 2 +3 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Adam Henrique (C) 0.28 0 0 0 14 09:29 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Jason Dickinson (C) 0.24 0 0 0 21 15:44 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Jack Roslovic (C) 0.18 0 0 0 16 12:43 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (C) 0.16 0 0 0 21 19:56 2 -3 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Kasperi Kapanen (R) 0.15 0 0 0 19 17:37 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Yanni Gourde (C) 0.11 0 0 0 22 15:16 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
EDM Roby Jarventie (L) 0.10 0 0 0 14 08:30 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nick Paul (L) 0.10 0 0 0 19 14:01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Corey Perry (R) 0.10 0 0 0 13 09:59 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Matt Savoie (C) 0.08 0 0 0 22 15:27 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Vasily Podkolzin (R) 0.07 0 0 0 17 14:08 2 0 5 0 0 0 0
EDM Zach Hyman (L) 0.07 0 0 0 21 20:28 1 -3 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.05 0 1 1 23 17:54 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.04 0 0 0 22 14:09 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Josh Samanski (C) 0.01 1 0 1 16 10:05 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.00 0 0 0 19 14:13 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Max Jones (L) 0.00 0 0 0 17 09:27 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
EDM Evan Bouchard (D) 0.39 0 1 1 27 27:37 3 -3 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Darnell Nurse (D) 0.18 0 0 0 27 20:26 3 0 2 0 0 0 0
EDM Jake Walman (D) 0.11 0 0 0 25 15:19 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Darren Raddysh (D) 0.09 0 0 0 26 26:00 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Mattias Ekholm (D) 0.09 0 0 0 27 23:49 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.06 0 0 0 17 11:58 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Emil Lilleberg (D) 0.02 0 0 0 19 13:02 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
EDM Ty Emberson (D) 0.01 0 0 0 21 13:18 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.00 0 0 0 28 20:14 1 +1 2 0 0 0 0
EDM Connor Murphy (D) 0.00 0 0 0 25 17:23 0 0 5 0 0 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.00 0 1 1 27 22:42 0 +3 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.00 0 0 0 28 22:01 0 +2 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) +6.37% 0.963 0.7 2 26 60:00 27 W 0
EDM Connor Ingram (G) -2.17% 0.846 -0.6 4 22 58:42 26 L 0