ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Tuesday, April 7, 2026
7:00 PM ET
Canadian Tire Centre (The Spot)
TBL
Tampa Bay Lightning
2 – 6
Final
Ottawa Senators
 OTT
36% xGF%
64% xGF%
TBL was expected to score 2.20 goals OTT was expected to score 3.91 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 2 Cumulative xG TBL OTT Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Tampa Bay Lightning Ottawa Senators
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 4:13 0.27 0 2:32 1.00 2
Even Strength 53:15 1.93 2 53:15 2.91 3
Penalty Kill 2:32 0.00 0 4:13 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 13:05 0.60 1
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 6:47 1.05 2
Tied 40:08 1.10 0 40:08 2.26 2
Down 1 6:47 0.29 1 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 13:05 0.80 1 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Jordan Spence scores at 15:46 in the 2nd period 0.12 xG (0-1)
  • ► Nick Paul scores at 18:23 in the 2nd period 0.17 xG (1-1)
  • ► Fabian Zetterlund scores at 2:45 in the 3rd period 0.02 xG (1-2)
  • ► Jake Sanderson scores at 4:39 in the 3rd period 0.18 xG (1-3)
  • ► Corey Perry scores at 10:35 in the 3rd period 0.11 xG (2-3)
  • ► Tim Stützle scores at 12:51 in the 3rd period 0.18 xG (2-4)
  • ► Jake Sanderson scores at 13:04 in the 3rd period 0.23 xG (2-5)
  • ► Shane Pinto scores at 16:41 in the 3rd period (2-6)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
OTT OTT xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
OTT Brady Tkachuk (L) 0.66 0 4 4 24 16:42 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nick Paul (L) 0.44 1 1 2 19 13:27 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Ridly Greig (C) 0.44 0 0 0 25 17:02 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.39 0 0 0 25 20:29 3 -2 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Dylan Cozens (C) 0.37 0 1 1 26 16:21 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.27 0 0 0 20 14:52 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Drake Batherson (R) 0.26 0 2 2 24 17:17 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Tim Stützle (C) 0.26 1 2 3 24 18:31 4 0 4 1 0 0 0
OTT Claude Giroux (R) 0.25 0 0 0 24 15:31 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Jakob Pelletier (L) 0.21 0 0 0 16 10:22 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.19 0 0 0 22 17:33 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Nick Cousins (C) 0.18 0 0 0 20 11:44 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Warren Foegele (L) 0.17 0 0 0 16 08:23 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Lars Eller (C) 0.15 0 0 0 21 11:12 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Fabian Zetterlund (L) 0.14 1 0 1 16 09:23 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Corey Perry (R) 0.11 1 1 2 17 14:17 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.10 0 0 0 18 15:01 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Shane Pinto (C) 0.09 1 0 1 25 17:20 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Michael Amadio (R) 0.06 0 0 0 25 16:34 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.04 0 0 0 22 15:46 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Dylan Duke (L) 0.04 0 0 0 14 09:22 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.03 0 1 1 24 19:41 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Yanni Gourde (C) 0.03 0 0 0 23 17:13 1 -1 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Conor Geekie (C) 0.00 0 0 0 16 11:29 0 -1 2 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
OTT Jake Sanderson (D) 0.65 2 0 2 30 24:08 5 +2 0 1 0 0 0
TBL Charle-Edouard D'Astous (D) 0.13 0 0 0 24 19:43 1 0 2 0 0 0 0
OTT Jordan Spence (D) 0.12 1 0 1 28 22:59 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Darren Raddysh (D) 0.11 0 0 0 22 20:42 3 -3 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Nikolas Matinpalo (D) 0.08 0 0 0 28 18:55 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.07 0 0 0 24 20:23 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Cameron Crotty (D) 0.02 0 1 1 21 14:50 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Lassi Thomson (D) 0.02 0 0 0 22 13:10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Emil Lilleberg (D) 0.02 0 0 0 24 19:55 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.02 0 1 1 26 18:05 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.01 0 0 0 23 18:22 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
OTT Artem Zub (D) 0.01 0 0 0 30 23:58 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
OTT Linus Ullmark (G) +0.65% 0.933 0.2 2 28 60:00 30 W 0
TBL Jonas Johansson (G) -3.51% 0.839 -1.1 5 26 58:46 31 L 0