ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Tuesday, March 25, 2025
7:00 PM ET
Amalie Arena (SN-PIT)
PIT
Pittsburgh Penguins
1 – 6
Final
Tampa Bay Lightning
 TBL
31% xGF%
69% xGF%
PIT was expected to score 1.23 goals TBL was expected to score 2.72 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 Cumulative xG PIT TBL Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Pittsburgh Penguins Tampa Bay Lightning
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 2:00 0.00 0 6:03 0.30 1
Even Strength 51:57 1.09 1 51:57 2.42 5
Penalty Kill 6:03 0.14 0 2:00 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 46:30 2.36 4
Up 1 0:00 0.00 0 1:17 0.01 1
Tied 12:13 0.35 0 12:13 0.34 1
Down 1 1:17 0.07 0 0:00 0.00 0
Down 2+ 46:30 0.81 1 0:00 0.00 0
  • ► Anthony Cirelli scores at 12:13 in the 1st period 0.14 xG (0-1)
  • ► Ryan McDonagh scores at 13:30 in the 1st period 0.01 xG (0-2)
  • ► Anthony Cirelli scores at 15:12 in the 1st period 0.07 xG (0-3)
  • ► Brayden Point scores at 16:00 in the 1st period 0.14 xG (0-4)
  • ► Nikita Kucherov scores at 15:31 in the 2nd period 0.08 xG (0-5)
  • ► Brandon Hagel scores at 19:19 in the 2nd period 0.17 xG (0-6)
  • ► Bryan Rust scores at 14:15 in the 3rd period 0.13 xG (1-6)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
TBL TBL xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TBL Brayden Point (C) 0.63 1 0 1 21 20:20 3 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Anthony Cirelli (C) 0.38 2 0 2 22 18:20 4 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Brandon Hagel (L) 0.31 1 1 2 26 17:58 4 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nikita Kucherov (R) 0.28 1 2 3 21 18:17 2 +2 2 1 0 0 0
TBL Oliver Bjorkstrand (R) 0.26 0 1 1 19 12:56 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Connor Dewar (C) 0.22 0 0 0 25 17:46 2 -3 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Jake Guentzel (C) 0.20 0 1 1 19 20:55 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Bryan Rust (R) 0.13 1 0 1 30 21:38 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Zemgus Girgensons (C) 0.11 0 0 0 19 12:37 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Nick Paul (L) 0.11 0 1 1 24 17:51 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Blake Lizotte (C) 0.10 0 0 0 25 18:30 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Emil Bemstrom (C) 0.10 0 0 0 11 08:03 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Sidney Crosby (C) 0.08 0 1 1 29 19:41 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Noel Acciari (C) 0.07 0 0 0 25 16:13 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Rickard Rakell (R) 0.07 0 0 0 28 18:25 1 -1 2 0 0 0 0
PIT Joona Koppanen (L) 0.05 0 0 0 17 11:58 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Danton Heinen (L) 0.04 0 0 0 17 11:48 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Luke Glendening (C) 0.00 0 0 0 22 12:14 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Yanni Gourde (C) 0.00 0 0 0 24 17:07 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Bokondji Imama (L) 0.00 0 0 0 9 05:41 1 0 14 0 0 0 0
PIT Philip Tomasino (R) 0.00 0 0 0 16 11:24 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Gage Goncalves (C) 0.00 0 0 0 18 12:31 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Kevin Hayes (R) 0.00 0 0 0 16 11:58 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TBL Victor Hedman (D) 0.20 0 0 0 28 20:26 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Conor Timmins (D) 0.19 0 0 0 28 19:46 2 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Darren Raddysh (D) 0.13 0 1 1 25 19:53 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Kris Letang (D) 0.09 0 0 0 27 22:43 3 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL J.J. Moser (D) 0.08 0 1 1 27 17:45 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Erik Karlsson (D) 0.04 0 0 0 27 24:44 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Ryan Graves (D) 0.04 0 0 0 18 16:01 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
TBL Nick Perbix (D) 0.02 0 1 1 21 16:46 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Ryan McDonagh (D) 0.01 1 1 2 29 21:05 2 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Emil Lilleberg (D) 0.00 0 1 1 22 14:50 0 +1 2 0 0 0 0
PIT Vladislav Kolyachonok (D) 0.00 0 0 0 22 15:49 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TBL Erik Cernak (D) 0.00 0 1 1 6 04:20 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
PIT Matt Grzelcyk (D) 0.00 0 1 1 25 20:00 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TBL Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) +1.55% 0.933 0.2 1 14 59:49 15 W 0
PIT Alex Nedeljkovic (G) +0.31% 0.900 0.1 2 18 44:00 20 — 0
PIT Tristan Jarry (G) -47.79% 0.429 -3.3 4 3 16:00 7 L 0