ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Wednesday, December 31, 2025
8:00 PM ET
American Airlines Center (MSG-B)
BUF
Buffalo Sabres
4 – 1
Final
Dallas Stars
 DAL
52% xGF%
48% xGF%
BUF was expected to score 2.96 goals DAL was expected to score 2.71 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 Cumulative xG BUF DAL Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Buffalo Sabres Dallas Stars
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 4:00 0.46 0 4:00 0.21 0
Even Strength 52:00 2.50 4 52:00 2.20 1
Penalty Kill 4:00 0.00 0 4:00 0.30 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 10:39 0.26 1 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 12:16 0.46 1 27:29 0.98 0
Tied 9:36 0.34 1 9:36 0.73 1
Down 1 27:29 1.90 1 12:16 0.46 0
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 10:39 0.53 0
  • ► Mavrik Bourque scores at 0:15 in the 1st period 0.16 xG (0-1)
  • ► Josh Doan scores at 7:44 in the 2nd period 0.09 xG (1-1)
  • ► Bowen Byram scores at 17:05 in the 2nd period 0.09 xG (2-1)
  • ► Tage Thompson scores at 9:21 in the 3rd period 0.15 xG (3-1)
  • ► Tage Thompson scores at 11:35 in the 3rd period 0.06 xG (4-1)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
BUF BUF xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Tage Thompson (C) 0.63 2 1 3 22 18:45 7 +3 2 0 0 0 0
DAL Jason Robertson (L) 0.47 0 1 1 20 21:16 8 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Dunne (C) 0.45 0 0 0 17 11:15 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Peyton Krebs (C) 0.42 0 0 0 19 13:59 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
DAL Colin Blackwell (C) 0.38 0 0 0 16 12:33 4 0 0 0 0 0 0
DAL Mavrik Bourque (C) 0.37 1 0 1 19 15:17 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Doan (R) 0.36 1 1 2 22 15:27 3 +2 2 0 0 0 0
DAL Roope Hintz (C) 0.31 0 0 0 19 16:32 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
DAL Matt Duchene (C) 0.27 0 0 0 16 15:43 1 -4 0 0 0 0 0
DAL Mikko Rantanen (R) 0.26 0 0 0 18 20:36 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
DAL Radek Faksa (C) 0.15 0 0 0 17 12:33 2 0 2 0 0 0 0
DAL Wyatt Johnston (C) 0.13 0 0 0 17 16:59 1 -3 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Josh Norris (C) 0.09 0 0 0 21 13:37 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Alex Tuch (R) 0.07 0 1 1 26 18:21 2 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Benson (L) 0.07 0 0 0 19 16:11 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Ryan McLeod (C) 0.03 0 0 0 22 16:35 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jordan Greenway (L) 0.01 0 0 0 19 12:28 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Jack Quinn (R) 0.01 0 0 0 18 15:21 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Noah Ostlund (C) 0.01 0 2 2 20 12:56 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Beck Malenstyn (L) 0.00 0 0 0 19 13:06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
DAL Jamie Benn (L) 0.00 0 0 0 16 11:27 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
DAL Oskar Bäck (C) 0.00 0 0 0 18 12:54 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
DAL Sam Steel (C) 0.00 0 0 0 17 13:17 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
DAL Justin Hryckowian (C) 0.00 0 0 0 16 10:10 0 -1 2 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
BUF Bowen Byram (D) 0.35 1 1 2 28 24:36 2 +3 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Rasmus Dahlin (D) 0.33 0 0 0 30 24:43 5 +1 0 0 0 0 0
DAL Miro Heiskanen (D) 0.17 0 1 1 24 24:50 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Mattias Samuelsson (D) 0.09 0 0 0 30 22:56 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
DAL Alexander Petrovic (D) 0.07 0 0 0 16 13:27 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
DAL Nils Lundkvist (D) 0.05 0 0 0 21 15:53 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
DAL Esa Lindell (D) 0.03 0 0 0 25 22:58 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
DAL Thomas Harley (D) 0.03 0 0 0 25 22:58 2 -4 0 0 0 0 0
DAL Ilya Lyubushkin (D) 0.02 0 0 0 19 16:37 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Michael Kesselring (D) 0.02 0 0 0 16 12:04 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Zach Metsa (D) 0.01 0 0 0 14 09:28 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
BUF Owen Power (D) 0.00 0 1 1 30 24:12 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
BUF Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (G) +5.89% 0.966 1.7 1 28 60:00 29 W 0
DAL Casey DeSmith (G) -3.35% 0.871 -1.0 4 27 60:00 31 L 0