ONGOING MAINTENANCE: Data prior to 2021 is being backfilled, so may be incomplete and have incorrect division alignment. Expected completion: August 15.
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Monday, January 19, 2026
7:30 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena (FDSNNO)
MIN
Minnesota Wild
6 – 3
Final
Toronto Maple Leafs
 TOR
54% xGF%
46% xGF%
MIN was expected to score 3.98 goals TOR was expected to score 3.41 goals
P1 P2 P3 0 1 2 3 4 Cumulative xG MIN TOR Dots represent goals
Shot Map (xG Shots Only) Shot Goal
xG by State Minnesota Wild Toronto Maple Leafs
Strength State Time xG G Time xG G
Power Play 4:42 1.05 2 6:54 0.82 1
Even Strength 48:24 2.85 3 48:24 2.59 2
Penalty Kill 6:54 0.08 0 4:42 0.00 0
Score State Time xG G Time xG G
Up 2+ 41:02 2.09 2 0:00 0.00 0
Up 1 14:13 1.69 2 0:00 0.00 0
Tied 4:45 0.20 1 4:45 0.24 0
Down 1 0:00 0.00 0 14:13 0.29 0
Down 2+ 0:00 0.00 0 41:02 2.87 3
  • ► Vladimir Tarasenko scores at 4:45 in the 1st period 0.20 xG (1-0)
  • ► Ryan Hartman scores at 10:29 in the 1st period 0.29 xG (2-0)
  • ► John Tavares scores at 18:24 in the 1st period 0.14 xG (2-1)
  • ► Marcus Foligno scores at 6:53 in the 2nd period 0.10 xG (3-1)
  • ► Vladimir Tarasenko scores at 8:24 in the 2nd period 0.11 xG (4-1)
  • ► Marcus Foligno scores at 19:14 in the 2nd period 0.15 xG (5-1)
  • ► Nicholas Robertson scores at 6:27 in the 3rd period 0.13 xG (5-2)
  • ► Auston Matthews scores at 15:02 in the 3rd period 0.34 xG (5-3)
  • ► Marcus Foligno scores at 17:22 in the 3rd period (6-3)
  • ► Watch the full game recap here
MIN MIN xWin%
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Synthesized xGF% & GF% Analysis
Forwards
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TOR John Tavares (C) 0.85 1 0 1 20 17:36 6 -2 0 1 0 0 0
MIN Kirill Kaprizov (L) 0.78 0 2 2 21 22:47 5 +1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Ryan Hartman (R) 0.55 1 1 2 20 21:52 4 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Auston Matthews (C) 0.54 1 1 2 22 19:38 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Vinnie Hinostroza (C) 0.50 0 0 0 15 11:13 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Vladimir Tarasenko (R) 0.44 2 1 3 17 16:15 4 +2 2 1 0 0 0
MIN Marcus Foligno (L) 0.35 3 0 3 20 14:13 4 +1 0 1 0 0 0
TOR Steven Lorentz (C) 0.32 0 0 0 18 15:04 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicolas Roy (C) 0.32 0 1 1 18 12:25 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Ben Jones (C) 0.29 0 0 0 14 08:00 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Hunter Haight (C) 0.24 0 0 0 14 09:59 4 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Matias Maccelli (L) 0.22 0 0 0 19 19:22 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Mats Zuccarello (R) 0.21 0 1 1 20 21:59 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Yakov Trenin (C) 0.17 0 0 0 18 15:42 0 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Calle Jarnkrok (C) 0.16 0 0 0 15 11:30 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Nicholas Robertson (L) 0.13 1 0 1 17 12:42 1 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Easton Cowan (R) 0.12 0 1 1 16 12:43 2 +1 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Max Domi (C) 0.11 0 1 1 17 14:04 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Scott Laughton (C) 0.04 0 0 0 18 15:39 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Tyler Pitlick (C) 0.02 0 0 0 11 07:25 1 -1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Nico Sturm (C) 0.01 0 1 1 20 12:06 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Danila Yurov (R) 0.01 0 1 1 20 15:28 1 +2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Matthew Knies (L) 0.00 0 1 1 21 19:11 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Bobby McMann (C) 0.00 0 0 0 15 12:23 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Defensemen
Team Player xG G A Pts Shifts TOI SOG +/- PIM PPG PPP SHG GWG
TOR Morgan Rielly (D) 0.21 0 0 0 25 23:18 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Troy Stecher (D) 0.18 0 0 0 21 16:25 3 -1 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Brock Faber (D) 0.17 0 2 2 31 24:25 2 +4 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Jake Middleton (D) 0.14 0 0 0 25 19:47 3 +1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Jake McCabe (D) 0.10 0 0 0 20 21:36 2 -1 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Oliver Ekman-Larsson (D) 0.09 0 0 0 27 19:32 3 0 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Quinn Hughes (D) 0.08 0 2 2 25 26:33 1 +3 2 0 0 0 0
MIN Daemon Hunt (D) 0.02 0 0 0 19 12:45 1 -2 0 0 0 0 0
MIN Jared Spurgeon (D) 0.01 0 0 0 26 20:28 0 0 4 0 0 0 0
MIN David Jiricek (D) 0.00 0 0 0 18 12:49 0 -2 0 0 0 0 0
TOR Simon Benoit (D) 0.00 0 0 0 20 13:50 0 0 2 0 0 0 0
TOR Brandon Carlo (D) 0.00 0 0 0 23 19:00 0 -2 2 0 0 0 0
Goalies
Team Player SV%Ax SV% GSAx GA Saves TOI SA Dec SO
TOR Dennis Hildeby (G) +9.16% 1.000 0.7 0 8 19:24 8 — 0
MIN Filip Gustavsson (G) +1.35% 0.900 0.4 3 27 59:56 30 W 0
TOR Joseph Woll (G) -6.04% 0.828 -1.8 5 24 40:00 29 L 0